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Leaderboard / Clay TravisIs Clay Travis accurate? Across 27 graded calls in 12 articles, Clay Travis scores 98.33% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 74.15, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution.
98.33%
Accuracy
How often they were right.
74.15
MissedTakes Score
Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.
27
Graded calls
across 12 articles. 3 more not yet settled.
A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology , and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it .
100
race name: 2024 U.S. Senate election in Tennessee
they said: Marsha Blackburn
days before the vote when called: 0
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican “I'd also add the Senate even if Trump were to lose. I feel really good about the Senate... I feel the most confident of all in Republicans taking back the Senate.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +100 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
election year: 2024
skill: 100
topic: elections
result from: senate: United States Senate, Party Division (https://www.senate.gov/history/partydiv.htm)
chamber: 2024-senate
who controls it: Republican
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
they said: Republican
days before the vote when called: 0
difficulty: 1
the naive guess: the party in control going in keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
who controlled it before: Democratic Think this grade is wrong?
“Bernie Marino, next Senator from the great state of Ohio, will join us at one thirty.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +100 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-senate-oh
election year: 2024
skill: 100
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: wikipedia-2024-senate
who won: Bernard F. Moreno
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. Senate election in Ohio
decided in the: general
they said: Bernard F. Moreno
days before the vote when called: 0
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
“West Virginia is a pickup... West Virginia is a win.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +100 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-senate-wv
election year: 2024
skill: 100
topic: elections
held going in by: Independent
result from: wikipedia-2024-senate
who won: Jim Justice
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia
decided in the: general
they said: Jim Justice
days before the vote when called: 0
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
“I think she's gonna lose Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +100 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president-az
election year: 2024
skill: 100
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Arizona
decided in the: general
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 2
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
“I think she's gonna lose Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 100 +0 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president-nc
election year: 2024
skill: 0
topic: elections
held going in by: Republican
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 100
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election in North Carolina
decided in the: general
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 2
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: “I think of the ultimate reason Kamala Harris is going to lose, which is that she doesn't have any core value.”
Scored 0 a naive guess scored 0 +0 skill
How this was scored
right: no
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 0
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 0
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called: 2
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: “I think she's gonna lose Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +100 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president-nv
election year: 2024
skill: 100
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Nevada
decided in the: general
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 2
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: “I think she's gonna lose Nevada, Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +100 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president-ga
election year: 2024
skill: 100
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Georgia
decided in the: general
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 2
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: “The reason why Trump's gonna win, I believe, Buck, is those three issues are all in his favor. As we sit here four days out”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +100 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 100
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 3
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
“we've already got Ohio locked up... But Trump's not losing Ohio.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 100 +0 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president-oh
election year: 2024
skill: 0
topic: elections
held going in by: Republican
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 100
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Ohio
decided in the: general
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 3
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: Republican “Certainly West Virginia is gonna flip with Jim Justice.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +100 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-senate-wv
election year: 2024
skill: 100
topic: elections
held going in by: Independent
result from: wikipedia-2024-senate
who won: Jim Justice
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. Senate election in West Virginia
decided in the: general
they said: Jim Justice
days before the vote when called: 3
difficulty: 1
the winner's party: Republican “a realization setting in that he is likely to win on Tuesday, as the early voting numbers continue to be in Republican favor.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +101 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 101
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 4
difficulty: 1.01
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
“And by the way, in Florida, Trump is probably going to win Florida by double digits. Based on the early voting numbers. He only won Florida by three in twenty twenty.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 2.6 +98.37 skill
How this was scored
race: 2024-president-fl
election year: 2024
skill: 98.37
topic: elections
what happened: 13.1
in their words: double digits
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
zero credit this far off: 10
what they counted: margin_points
whose number: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 2.6
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida
decided in the: general
days before the vote when called: 5
difficulty: 1.01
they won: yes
the naive guess: the seat's previous margin, or a tie when we do not hold it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the certified margin: 13.1
their party: Republican
their range: 10,100
the naive guess said: 3.36 Think this grade is wrong?
“Joined now by the next Senator from the great state of Indiana, Jim Banks... Congressman soon to be Senator... we look forward to seeing you in the Senate in a few months.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 100 +0 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-senate-in
election year: 2024
skill: 0
topic: elections
held going in by: Republican
result from: wikipedia-2024-senate
who won: Jim Banks
accuracy: 100
baseline: 100
race name: 2024 U.S. Senate election in Indiana
decided in the: general
they said: Jim Banks
days before the vote when called: 6
difficulty: 1.01
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
“Because Bill, I don't just think personally that Trump is going to win.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +101 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 101
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 6
difficulty: 1.01
the winner's party: “Look, I think Kamala is going to win the state of New York. I want everybody in New York to go vote.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 100 +0 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president-ny
election year: 2024
skill: 0
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Kamala Harris
accuracy: 100
baseline: 100
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election in New York
decided in the: general
they said: Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called: 7
difficulty: 1.01
the winner's party: Democratic
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Democratic Think this grade is wrong?
“Instead their pursuit of Trump destroyed them. And he's going to get re elected president, I believe”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +101 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 101
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 7
difficulty: 1.01
the winner's party: “how are they going to go forward into a Trump administration if he wins, which we both think he will”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +101 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 101
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 9
difficulty: 1.01
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
“you have the ability and all of the Ohio voters do to not only put Trump in the White House, and we expect Trump to win Ohio comfortably”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 100 +0 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president-oh
election year: 2024
skill: 0
topic: elections
held going in by: Republican
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 100
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Ohio
decided in the: general
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 10
difficulty: 1.01
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
“for him to come back and win the popular vote, I believe it will be. And I think he's going to win the popular vote”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +101 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 101
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 10
difficulty: 1.01
the winner's party: “I think you're starting to see a recognition that one Trump is likely to win, because I do think they would jump on the you know, jump on the party train if Kamala Harris were going to win”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +101 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 101
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 10
difficulty: 1.01 “That is Bernie Marino, next senator from the state of Ohio.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +101 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-senate-oh
election year: 2024
skill: 101
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: wikipedia-2024-senate
who won: Bernard F. Moreno
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. Senate election in Ohio
decided in the: general
they said: Bernard F. Moreno
days before the vote when called: 10
difficulty: 1.01
the winner's party: Republican “Like if Trump wins Florida by let's say eight or more points, which seems highly likely based on how voting is going so far”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 2.6 +99.35 skill
How this was scored
race: 2024-president-fl
election year: 2024
skill: 99.35
topic: elections
what happened: 13.1
in their words: by let's say eight or more points
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
zero credit this far off: 10
what they counted: margin_points
whose number: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 2.6
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida
decided in the: general
days before the vote when called: 11
difficulty: 1.02
they won: yes
the naive guess: the seat's previous margin, or a tie when we do not hold it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the certified margin: 13.1
their party: Republican
their range: 8,100
the naive guess said: 3.36 Think this grade is wrong?
“I'm already looking forward to the real truth being told because as soon as Kamala loses, and I think she's going to lose officially in twelve days”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +102 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 102
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 11
difficulty: 1.02
the winner's party: “he was running against Josh Holly, and Josh Holly he's gonna smoke him... he's gonna get absolutely wrecked in Missouri”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 100 +0 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-senate-mo
election year: 2024
skill: 0
topic: elections
held going in by: Republican
result from: wikipedia-2024-senate
who won: Josh Hawley
accuracy: 100
baseline: 100
race name: 2024 U.S. Senate election in Missouri
decided in the: general
they said: Josh Hawley
days before the vote when called: 12
difficulty: 1.02
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
“I've been wrong before, but I think Trump's gonna win the popular vote. I think He's gonna get more votes than Kamala.”
Scored 100 a naive guess scored 0 +102 skill
How this was scored
right: yes
race: 2024-president
election year: 2024
skill: 102
topic: elections
held going in by: Democratic
result from: fec-2024-president
who won: Donald Trump
accuracy: 100
baseline: 0
race name: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the: electoral-college
they said: Donald Trump
days before the vote when called: 13
difficulty: 1.02
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day: 2024-11-05
the result is: certified
the party they named: Republican Think this grade is wrong?
Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Democratic
Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
the winner's party: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican
Republican
the naive guess: the party holding the seat keeps it
the party they named: Republican