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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
14% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
179 / 1,251
graded
1,072 still pending
By season
576–600 of 1,251
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 11.02)
making him one of the top breakout candidates at running back this season
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 10.12)
Croskey-Merritt has a much clearer path to carries than his 10th-round ADP suggests.
Kyren Williams to outplay his draft cost (he's being selected as the RB14)
However, Corum's presence also keeps Williams healthier, and currently he can be acquired at a discount. Considering that he's being selected as the RB14, I'm happy to gobble him up wherever he's available.
Kyren WilliamsLos Angeles Rams
Josh Jacobs to outplay his draft cost (Our ECR currently ranks Jacobs at RB17)
Our ECR currently ranks Jacobs at RB17, and I think the negativity has gone way too far.
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (a mid-round investment)
I’ve written about him extensively this preseason as a mid-round investment I’m incredibly high on
Jonathon BrooksCarolina Panthers
Kyler Murray to outplay his draft cost (his QB17 ranking)
I understand the justification for his QB17 ranking, but I’ll be quick to remind managers that “scared money don’t make no money.” He is worth the risk.
Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (the QB21)
Given his current price point as the QB21, Willis is the ideal backup quarterback for managers to draft
Rome Odunze to outplay his draft cost (the WR29 in expert consensus rankings (ECR))
Currently ranked as the WR29 in expert consensus rankings (ECR), I see plenty of value at that spot and would be thrilled to have him on my team as a WR3.
Malachi Fields to outplay his draft cost (a late-round dart throw)
He's an interesting sleeper pick as a late-round dart throw.
Ladd McConkey to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 3-6)
Ladd McConkey (WR – LAC) ... clearing a real path back to that rookie-year level of usage.
Ladd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers
Nicholas Singleton to outplay his draft cost (The Very Late Rounds)
Nicholas Singleton (RB – TEN): Worth rostering purely as a contingency dice roll
Nicholas SingletonTennessee Titans
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (Round 10 and Beyond)
Late-Round Values: Round 10 and Beyond — De'Zhaun Stribling (WR – SF)
De'Zhaun StriblingSan Francisco 49ers
Rashid Shaheed to outplay his draft cost (Round 10 and Beyond)
Rashid Shaheed (WR – SEA) ... when more involved, he profiled well specifically as a downfield threat
Rashid ShaheedSeattle Seahawks
Dalton Kincaid to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 7-9)
Dalton Kincaid (TE – BUF) ... there's real incentive for an expanded role ... with genuine touchdown-driven upside on top
Rhamondre Stevenson to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 7-9)
positioning him as a real weekly-starter floor rather than just matchup-based flex value
Rhamondre StevensonNew England Patriots
Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 3-6)
Costlier Breakouts: Rounds 3-6 — Zay Flowers (WR – BAL): Flowers has real top-12 ceiling for the first time in his career.
Rome Odunze to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 3-6)
Rome Odunze (WR – CHI) ... history shows a receiver's third season is the single most common year for a first-ever top-12 finish.
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (The Very Late Rounds)
Deep Targets: The Very Late Rounds — MarShawn Lloyd (RB – GB) ... Lloyd profiles as the primary contingency option
MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers
Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (going outside the top 30 picks overall)
a clearly top-tier implied-total offense, with a player going outside the top 30 picks overall
Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 7-9)
Mid-Round Targets: Rounds 7-9 — Mike Evans (WR – SF): Evans is available at a real discount after an outlier down season last year
Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 3-6)
Colston Loveland (TE – CHI) ... there's a strong case he's a legitimate value one to two tiers below where his actual talent belongs.
Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 11.03)
WR Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts (ADP: 11.03) ... These are all players I rank at least 20 spots higher than their consensus ADP
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 8.07)
WR Parker Washington, Jacksonville Jaguars (ADP: 8.07) ... These are all players I rank at least 20 spots higher than their consensus ADP across ESPN, Yahoo and Sleeper.
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 5.11)
If you do find yourself looking for a running back in the dead zone, these are the players to target. ... D'Andre Swift, Chicago Bears (ADP: 5.11)
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 5.10)
David Montgomery, Houston Texans (ADP: 5.10) ... That leaves Montgomery with a clear path to his largest workload in years.