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Nathan Jahnke is the Lead Fantasy Football Analyst at Pro Football Focus, where he's spent more than 15 years in various leadership roles, including Director of Player Participation and Director of Analytics. His background spans fantasy football analysis, football research, software development, and analytics. At PFF, Jahnke covers the full spectrum of fantasy content — weekly rankings, waiver wire recommendations, usage reports, and game recaps with immediate fantasy takeaways. His predictions range across depth chart projections, roster spots, draft positioning, and player finishes, covering teams from the Chargers to the Jets and players like Tucker Kraft, Kenneth Walker III, and DeVonta Smith.
Across 69 graded calls in 13 articles, Nathan Jahnke scores 69.01% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -4.33, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #72 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 584 calls · one square per 5 calls
53hits77% of graded
16misses23%
515waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Teams and players where Nathan Jahnke keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Nathan Jahnke is the Lead Fantasy Football Analyst at Pro Football Focus, where he's spent more than 15 years in various leadership roles, including Director of Player Participation and Director of Analytics. His background spans fantasy football analysis, football research, software development, and analytics. At PFF, Jahnke covers the full spectrum of fantasy content — weekly rankings, waiver wire recommendations, usage reports, and game recaps with immediate fantasy takeaways. His predictions range across depth chart projections, roster spots, draft positioning, and player finishes, covering teams from the Chargers to the Jets and players like Tucker Kraft, Kenneth Walker III, and DeVonta Smith.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
69 graded calls in 13 articles, newest first — page 1 of 3. Every take from Nathan Jahnke, including the ones still waiting →
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Nathan Jahnke would be #25; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #72.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | Eric Moody | -3.54 | 34.12% | 39 |
| 71 | AJ Hawk | -4.1 | 37.5% | 13 |
| 72 | Nathan Jahnke | -4.33 | 69.01% | 69 |
| 73 | Joe Pisapia | -5.61 | 73.61% | 20 |
| 74 | Randy Gurzi | -8.88 | 50.94% | 81 |
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Jacoby Brissett to move to Baltimore Ravens
“Baltimore is expected to trade for Jacoby Brissett before its next game.”
Zach Ertz to land on the practice squad
“As for Ertz, it wouldn't be surprising if he remains on the practice squad next week rather than being signed to the 53-man roster, given his lack of a clear role or special teams value.”
Emari Demercado to be cut
“The Cowboys released Emari Demercado earlier today... He will likely sign to the practice squad, and he would be called up if any of the Cowboys' running backs suffer an injury.”
Reggie Virgil to make the roster
“He will likely make the roster as a fifth-round pick.”
Devin Duvernay to make the roster
“his special teams play has likely earned him a roster spot”
Elijah Sarratt to make the roster
“He is seventh on the depth chart at best, but will likely make the roster as a fourth-round rookie.”