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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
14% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
179 / 1,251
graded
1,072 still pending
By season
801–825 of 1,251
Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (Going as the WR42, 106th overall)
Going as the WR42, 106th overall, one analyst has him as high as WR38 and considered pushing him even further.
Kyler Murray to outplay his draft cost (Going as the QB17)
Going as the QB17, one analyst views this as real value ... setting up a real bounce-back case.
DeVonta Smith to outplay his draft cost (Going as the WR12, 30th overall)
Going as the WR12, 30th overall, one analyst has him as his WR10
DeVonta SmithPhiladelphia Eagles
Tyler Shough to outplay his draft cost (Going as the QB21, 161st overall)
Going as the QB21, 161st overall, one analyst ranks him as high as QB14 ... all support a real breakout case
Tyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (Going as the WR29, 65th overall)
Going as the WR29, 65th overall, one analyst has him as high as WR20 and would consider him as early as round four.
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (Going as the RB16, 34th overall)
Going as the RB16, 34th overall, one analyst has him as a top-12 back and would consider taking him as early as round two
Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (Round 6)
Christian Watson (WR – GB) profiles as a year-four breakout disguised as a year-five breakout
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (Round 5)
David Montgomery (RB – HOU) is a strong RB2 with real RB1 upside, not a dead-zone back.
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (Round 9)
Quentin Johnston (WR – LAC) is the real wide receiver one of his offense, not the more hyped teammate typically drafted ahead of him.
Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers
Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (Round 13)
A more reliable quarterback situation this year should mean more catchable targets and real breakout potential.
Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (Round 10)
Isaiah Likely (TE – NYG) should run a lot more routes this year than a rival late-round tight end target
Greg Dulcich to outplay his draft cost (Round 15)
real efficiency backing up a name still available at the very end of drafts
Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (Round 4)
Colston Loveland (TE – CHI) has real number-one-overall tight end upside, not just top-12.
Puka Nacua to outplay his draft cost (Round 1)
Puka Nacua (WR – LAR) could be a season-defining player if he hits his ceiling.
Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (Round 7)
Parker Washington (WR – JAX) is the true upside swing to take at wide receiver this year.
Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars
K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost (Round 12)
KC Concepcion (WR – CLE) is a talented rookie who can threaten a defense at all three levels.
K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns
Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost (Round 8)
Jaxson Dart (QB – NYG) offers real rushing upside paired with rookie-year efficiency that was genuinely elite
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (Round 2)
Chase Brown (RB – CIN) has real top-three overall ceiling that isn't being discussed enough.
Jalen Hurts to outplay his draft cost (Round 6)
Jalen Hurts (QB – PHI) offers access to elite quarterback play at a real discount... he's currently going outside the top five at the position
Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles
Deebo Samuel Sr. to outplay his draft cost (Round 11)
Deebo Samuel (WR – SF) has an ADP that's unlikely to catch up to his actual talent level fast enough.
Deebo Samuel Sr.San Francisco 49ers
Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (Round 4)
Jaylen Waddle (WR – DEN) has a genuinely high ceiling in his new offense.
Tre Harris to outplay his draft cost (Round 13)
positioning him as a potential riser in the pecking order over two more established, higher-drafted teammates
Tre HarrisLos Angeles Chargers
Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (Round 3)
Zay Flowers (WR – BAL) is set up for touchdown regression in the best way... a near-lock for touchdown correction this year
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (Round 9)
positioning him to vacuum up high-value touches even if he loses some between-the-tackles volume
Rachaad WhiteWashington Commanders
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (Round 7)
Jonathon Brooks (RB – CAR) is finally fully healthy entering his third season... fully cleared for a significant role
Jonathon BrooksCarolina Panthers