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Graded under the published methodology. Each call shows what it scored and how much better than a naive guess that was. How this kind is scored →
14% settled
out of 100
Takes in each band
179 / 1,251
graded
1,072 still pending
By season
826–850 of 1,251
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (Round 3)
Javonte Williams (RB – DAL) was actually the RB1 in fantasy points per game last year, yet he's being drafted like a mid-tier RB2 this year.
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (Round 8)
offering real QB1-overall upside at a late-round price
Trevor LawrenceJacksonville Jaguars
A.J. Brown to outplay his draft cost (Round 2)
AJ Brown (WR – NE) is positioned for a potential career year.
A.J. BrownNew England Patriots
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (Round 5)
David Montgomery (RB – HOU) is a strong RB2 with real RB1 upside, not a dead-zone back.
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Puka Nacua to outplay his draft cost (Round 1)
Puka Nacua (WR – LAR) could be a season-defining player if he hits his ceiling.
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (Round 9)
positioning him to vacuum up high-value touches even if he loses some between-the-tackles volume
Rachaad WhiteWashington Commanders
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (Round 7)
Jonathon Brooks (RB – CAR) is finally fully healthy entering his third season... fully cleared for a significant role
Jonathon BrooksCarolina Panthers
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (Round 6)
Christian Watson (WR – GB) profiles as a year-four breakout disguised as a year-five breakout
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
K.C. Concepcion to outplay his draft cost (Round 12)
KC Concepcion (WR – CLE) is a talented rookie who can threaten a defense at all three levels.
K.C. ConcepcionCleveland Browns
Brian Thomas Jr. to outplay his draft cost (WR31 to WR33)
This has caused Brian Thomas Jr.‘s price to dip. I recommend buying in, as Thomas has had a strong camp as well... The price is right on this one.
Brian Thomas Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars
Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (the sixth round of 12-team drafts)
Risk aversion typically drops Watson into the sixth round of 12-team drafts. That's appealing value for a player who demonstrated last season that he's capable of being a top-15 receiver if he enjoys a season of good health.
Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers
Dalton Schultz to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round)
Top Late-Round TE Targets: Dalton Schultz
AJ Barner to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round)
Top Late-Round TE Targets: AJ Barner
Dallas Goedert to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round)
Top Late-Round TE Targets: Dallas Goedert
Greg Dulcich to outplay his draft cost (Late-Round)
Top Late-Round TE Targets: Greg Dulcich
Justin Herbert to outplay his draft cost (Round 7 or 8)
I'm not afraid to pull the trigger on Herbert in Round 7 or 8 (if he falls)
Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (Round 3)
His favorite Round 3 targets include ... Colston Loveland
Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (Round 3)
His favorite Round 3 targets include ... Zay Flowers
Jeremiyah Love to outplay his draft cost (Round 3)
His favorite Round 3 targets include Jeremiyah Love (leaning on the historical track record of top-12 rookie running backs)
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (ADP sits around where Michael Wilson goes)
while Brock Purdy’s ADP sits around where Michael Wilson goes — and a Purdy/McConkey combo of two weekly starters beats an Allen/Wilson combo
Tetairoa McMillan to outplay his draft cost (Round 3)
His favorite Round 3 targets include ... Tetairoa McMillan
Harold Fannin Jr. to outplay his draft cost (tight end, five in ADP overall sixty four)
I'm happy so far waiting on Fanning because it seems like people are taking those shots ... and I wait two or three rounds and I just take Harold Fannin.
Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty two ADP overall one oh six)
So I am one hundred percent on board with you with that, and I'm actually going to clip this and use this as my personal Jake Sealley defense for the remainder of the draft season there as I put out my defense of Quentin Johnson.
Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers
Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty two ADP overall one oh six)
I don't buy it. I am in on Quinton Johnston. I have him higher.
Wan'Dale Robinson to outplay his draft cost (WR43 in our rankings)
Dismissing last season as a fluke has caused his ADP to plummet and his ranking to slip; currently, we have him pegged at WR43 in our rankings. Much like Rodney Dangerfield, Robinson is currently getting no respect, and it is high time for to change.
Wan'Dale RobinsonTennessee Titans