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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.43% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 15 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
1551–1575 of 2,320
21 / 2,320
graded
2,299 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 12 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 19 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 10 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 17 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Michael Pittman to outplay his draft cost (Real-Time ADP: 100.3 ( WR42))
Michael Pittman Jr. (WR – PIT) | Real-Time ADP: 100.3 ( WR42) ... If you're looking for a set-it-and-forget-it pick after round eight, Pittman is your best bet.
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (Real-Time ADP: 112.9 ( RB41))
With Jacory Croskey-Merritt listed as the No. 1 RB on Washington's depth chart, White is being overlooked in PPR formats.
Oronde Gadsden II to be 2nd on the depth chart
That might be a harbinger that Gadsden is slotted for a backup role.
Oronde Gadsden IILos Angeles Chargers
Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 66 (WR31))
Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAX) | ADP: 66 (WR31) ... that projection looks much more attractive at the consensus price than when Fantrax makes him an earlier selection.
Brian Thomas Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars
Oronde Gadsden II to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 148 (TE16))
Oronde Gadsden II (TE – LAC) | ADP: 148 (TE16) ... the better approach is to wait and see rather than get tantalized by the potential.
Oronde Gadsden IILos Angeles Chargers
Tyler Allgeier to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 140 (RB44))
Tyler Allgeier (RB – ARI) | ADP: 140 (RB44) ... Fantrax drafters are effectively assuming that increased workload and a goal-line role are confirmed. They aren’t yet.
Tyler AllgeierArizona Cardinals
Kyler Murray to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 118 (QB18))
Kyler Murray (QB – MIN) | ADP: 118 (QB18) ... taking him around 140th overall is far more appealing than spending a pick around 118 overall.
MarShawn Lloyd to outplay his draft cost (late in drafts)
Take a flier on Lloyd late in drafts.
Caleb Williams to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
Williams has a bright future, and with Johnson as his mentor and a pass-catching corps that includes TE Colston Loveland and WRs Rome Odunze and Luther Burden, a high-end QB1 fantasy season is within reach.
Brock Bowers to be 1st on the depth chart
The Raiders are talent-starved at wide receiver, so Bowers is poised to be their alpha pass catcher.
Drake Maye to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
Despite the sour ending, Maye's second NFL season was a triumph. He's a top-five fantasy quarterback moving forward.
Brian Thomas Jr. to finish top 48 at his position, by fantasy points
Thomas is a WR3/4 who could easily be a WR2 by the end of the year if the big plays and touchdowns come.
Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart
Brooks could pull an Uncle Rico from last year and steal Hubbard's starting job in 2026.
Bo Nix to finish QB1 (1–12) at his position, by fantasy points
Nix offers a relatively safe floor but might have a limited ceiling. Consider him a low-end QB1 or high-end QB2.
Marvin Harrison Jr. to finish top 36 at his position, by fantasy points
If he can overcome the quarterback play and a talented running mate in Michael Wilson, Harrison Jr. can be a volume-based WR3/flex for 2026.
Tyler Shough to record 287 fantasy points
QB17 by projection at 287 points
Tyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints
Jaxson Dart to record 310 fantasy points
the projections peg him as a top-seven fantasy quarterback, with 310 projected points (18.3 per game)
Brock Purdy to record 307 fantasy points
projects as the QB8, at 307 points
Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers
Patrick Mahomes to outplay his draft cost (QB14)
Mahomes has slid to QB14 in consensus ... if Mahomes is close to himself, his current draft cost will look like a bargain.
Daniel Jones to record 274 fantasy points
QB20 by projection at 274 points
Daniel JonesIndianapolis Colts
Mike Evans to be 1st on the depth chart
San Francisco's pass-catching corps will look different, with Mike Evans expected to step in as the new number one receiver
Jaxson Dart to record ? rushing tds
The model forecasts roughly 550 rushing yards and six to seven rushing touchdowns
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (QB11)
the model treats Purdy as a set-and-forget mid-range QB1 available at a streaming price
Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers
Geno Smith to outplay his draft cost (QB28)
as the last quarterback off the board in a stream-friendly build or third QB in a superflex league, he offers more than his cost
Tyler Shough to finish top 17 at his position, by fantasy points
ranked QB19 in consensus and QB17 by projection at 287 points
Tyler ShoughNew Orleans Saints