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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.43% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 15 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
1801–1825 of 2,325
21 / 2,325
graded
2,304 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 12 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 19 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 10 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 17 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Emmett Johnson to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120)
Late-Round Values (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120): Emmett Johnson
Keenan Allen to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values (Outside Top 200): Keenan Allen
Jake Tonges to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values (Outside Top 200): Jake Tonges
Emeka Egbuka to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60): Emeka Egbuka
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60): David Montgomery
Caleb Williams to fall short of his draft cost (at Top 7 cost)
Caleb Williams (at Top 7 cost)
Ted Hurst to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values (Outside Top 200): Ted Hurst III
Bucky Irving to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60): Bucky Irving
Matthew Golden to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120)
Late-Round Values (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120): Matthew Golden
Greg Dulcich to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values (Outside Top 200): Greg Dulcich
Ja'Kobi Lane to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values (Outside Top 200): Ja’Kobi Lane
Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120)
Late-Round Values (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120): Braelon Allen
Jaylen Warren to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted ahead of Dowdle)
Considering that Warren is being drafted ahead of Dowdle, I'm happy to take the discount.
Jaylen WarrenPittsburgh Steelers
Travis Etienne to fall short of his draft cost (Currently ranked as the RB18 atop the fourth tier at the position)
Currently ranked as the RB18 atop the fourth tier at the position, I'd pivot elsewhere for upside.
Travis EtienneNew Orleans Saints
J.K. Dobbins to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted in near-identical positions)
J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey are being drafted in near-identical positions ... I'll just pass on this situation completely
Rico Dowdle to be 1st on the depth chart
pegging Rico Dowdle as one of my breakout players at the running back position ... Warren should remain in his current role rather than ascend to being the featured back for Pittsburgh.
Rico DowdlePittsburgh Steelers
Rico Dowdle to outplay his draft cost (being drafted behind Warren)
pegging Rico Dowdle as one of my breakout players at the running back position
Rico DowdlePittsburgh Steelers
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (currently ranked as the RB21)
Considering that Irving is currently ranked as the RB21 and Gainwell the RB36 in our expert consensus rankings (ECR), I'd honestly rather wait and take the value.
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers
RJ Harvey to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted in near-identical positions)
If Dobbins is on the field, Harvey's upside is dramatically lowered ... I'll just pass on this situation completely
Adonai Mitchell to outplay his draft cost (ADP 71)
Adonai Mitchell NYJ 62 71
Ryan Flournoy to outplay his draft cost (ADP 81)
Ryan Flournoy DAL 66 81
Braelon Allen to outplay his draft cost (ADP 59)
Braelon Allen NYJ 56 59
Omar Cooper to outplay his draft cost (ADP 62)
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ 59 62
Dontayvion Wicks to outplay his draft cost (ADP 82)
Dontayvion Wicks PHI 70 82
Dontayvion WicksPhiladelphia Eagles
Dylan Sampson to outplay his draft cost (ADP 52)
Dylan Sampson CLE 50 52