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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
96.25% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Sharp Football Analysis’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
151–175 of 378
157 / 378
graded
221 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Colston Loveland to record 90 receptions
The Sharp Football Analysis projections have Loveland projected for 90 receptions and 1,068 receiving yards
Colston Loveland to record 1,068 receiving yards
The Sharp Football Analysis projections have Loveland projected for 90 receptions and 1,068 receiving yards, which is not unreasonable given his late-season production.
D.J. Moore to record 1,100 receiving yards
Our projections have Moore projected for 83 receptions and more than 1,100 receiving yards
Chase Brown to be 1st on the depth chart
The Bengals did not invest in the running back room, and their current depth chart, which includes 30-year-old journeyman Samaje Perine and Tahj Brooks , suggests Brown remains the primary runner.
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
Woody Marks had an unremarkable season as a rookie, averaging 3.6 yards per carry, which provides runway for Montgomery to handle as much of the rushing work as possible.
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Los Angeles Rams to win the Super Bowl
Best Favorite Bet to win Super Bowl 61: Los Angeles Rams (+550) ... the Rams are poised to push for another Lombardi.
Minnesota Vikings to beat expectations
Best Sleeper Bet to win Super Bowl 61: Minnesota Vikings (+5000)
Kirk Cousins to be 1st on the depth chart
The Raiders understand they are in rebuilding mode, evidenced by a failed Maxx Crosby trade earlier in the offseason, so it makes sense that Cousins starts in the opening months of the season.
Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (WR53)
this is why Jayden Higgins (WR53) and Matthew Golden (WR47) stand out as undervalued.
Matthew Golden to outplay his draft cost (WR47)
this is why Jayden Higgins (WR53) and Matthew Golden (WR47) stand out as undervalued.
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (WR64)
KC Concepcion (WR51), Omar Cooper (WR59), and Denzel Boston (WR60) are next in line, and I would bet on De’Zhaun Stribling (WR64) jumping that trio, or at least Cooper.
Baker Mayfield to outplay his draft cost (a QB2)
Mayfield does not have elite rushing upside, but he is a standout pick as a QB2 when you pair everything together.
Jordan Love to outplay his draft cost (QB19 in ADP)
Jordan Love is the best bet under that umbrella if looking to run it back this season. Love is currently QB19 in ADP and is 12th in current odds to lead the league in passing touchdowns.
Cam Ward to be 1st on the depth chart
This year, Cam Ward and Tyler Shough are passers we are expecting to be full-season starters in Year 2 and are being selected as QB2 options.
Tyler Shough to be 1st on the depth chart
This year, Cam Ward and Tyler Shough are passers we are expecting to be full-season starters in Year 2 and are being selected as QB2 options.
Jordan Love to record 3,549.5 passing yards
Jordan Love – Over 3549.5 Passing Yards (+100)
Josh Allen to record 40 passing tds
40 + Passing Touchdowns +2000
Josh Allen to record 24.5 passing tds
Josh Allen – Over 24.5 Passing Touchdowns (-110)
Jordan Love to record 4,000 passing yards
4000+ Passing Yards (+230)
Josh Allen to record 3,599.5 passing yards
Josh Allen – Over 3599.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Josh Allen to record 35 passing tds
35 + Passing Touchdowns +800
Breece Hall to outplay his draft cost (the RB2/dead-zone range)
If looking at veteran backs currently going in the RB2/dead-zone range, Breece Hall and D'Andre Swift are the guys with a viable pass-catching resume to this point.
Tony Pollard to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)
That makes it tougher to bet on landing a big hit from team RB1 picks (per ADP) going later in Tony Pollard, Jaylen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, Rachaad White, and Aaron Jones
TreVeyon Henderson to outplay his draft cost (the RB2 dead zone)
If we are paring down that initial list with overlap as pass catchers, Love, Skattebo, and Henderson are the best bets.
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (outside of the RB1 range in ADP)
That makes it tougher to bet on landing a big hit from team RB1 picks (per ADP) going later in Tony Pollard, Jaylen Warren, Chuba Hubbard, Rachaad White, and Aaron Jones