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Writes at The 33rd Team
Across 47 graded calls in 8 articles, Dan Pizzuta scores 77.75% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 21.63, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 47 calls · one square per call
26hits55% of graded
5Close11%
16misses34%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
47 graded calls in 8 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Dan Pizzuta, including the ones still waiting →
Aidan O'Connell to be 1st on the depth chart
“Gardner Minshew broke his collarbone and will be out for the rest of the season, putting Aidan O’Connell back in as the starter.”
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Dan Pizzuta isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Cooper Rush to be 1st on the depth chart
“With Dak Prescott out for at least four weeks on injured reserve, Cooper Rush is in line to start instead of Trey Lance.”
Josh Allen to win MVP
“Allen still has an MVP path, and he's at the point where even his "bad" games show his growth as a player.”
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
“Malik Willis goes to the bottom, as he's expected to get the start for Jordan Love.”
Justin Fields to be 1st on the depth chart
“Justin Fields started for Russell Wilson in the opener, and the Steelers are preparing to start him again in Week 2 as Wilson recovers from a calf injury.”
Jacoby Brissett to be 1st on the depth chart
“Right now, Jacoby Brissett is ranked, and Drake Maye is not. ... That's what the Patriots are hoping for until Drake Maye is ready to take over. ... he's a perfect bridge quarterback for the early part of the year.”
Jer'Zhan Newton to be picked at number 15
“Our big board has Newton 15th overall and first at the position.”
Michael Penix Jr. to be picked “early second round” (picks 33–64)
“Both are getting talked about as possible first-round picks, but they could see a Levis-like fall into the early second round.”
Caleb Williams to be picked “surefire early first-round pick” (picks 1–32)
“we have the top four in Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels and McCarthy, who are all surefire early first-round picks”
Jayden Daniels to be picked “surefire early first-round pick” (picks 1–32)
“we have the top four in Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels and McCarthy, who are all surefire early first-round picks”
J.J. McCarthy to be picked “surefire early first-round pick; fourth quarterback off the board” (picks 1–135)
“the fourth quarterback off the board ... we have the top four in Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels and McCarthy, who are all surefire early first-round picks”
J.J. McCarthy to be 4th quarterback off the board
“A surprise team Trades up for J.J. McCarthy ... other suitors just behind could be more desperate to get ahead of them for the fourth quarterback off the board.”
Bo Nix to be picked “early second round” (picks 33–64)
“Both are getting talked about as possible first-round picks, but they could see a Levis-like fall into the early second round.”
Drake Maye to be picked “surefire early first-round pick” (picks 1–32)
“we have the top four in Caleb Williams, Drake Maye, Jayden Daniels and McCarthy, who are all surefire early first-round picks”