Loading…
Loading…
Rich Hribar is an experienced fantasy football analyst and prognosticator who uses advanced analytics and deep data analysis to uncover edges in the fantasy marketplace. He publishes his weekly research in "The Worksheet" at Sharp Football Analysis and has appeared on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. By his own account, he's an FSWA Award winner and a top-20 in-season ranker whose work is trusted by DFS tournament winners and redraft champions. His predictions span the fantasy landscape—draft rankings, sleepers, busts, player stat projections, and depth chart calls—covering quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson, pass-catchers like CeeDee Lamb and Travis Kelce, and running backs like Christian McCaffrey across teams from the Chiefs to the Lions.
Across 64 graded calls in 11 articles, Rich Hribar scores 68.79% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 32.68, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #24 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Fantasy Rankings (67.71% accuracy across 10 graded calls); their weakest is Player Season Numbers (48.99% across 43 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 177 calls · one square per call
17hits27% of graded
29Close45%
18misses28%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Rich Hribar is an experienced fantasy football analyst and prognosticator who uses advanced analytics and deep data analysis to uncover edges in the fantasy marketplace. He publishes his weekly research in "The Worksheet" at Sharp Football Analysis and has appeared on The Herd with Colin Cowherd. By his own account, he's an FSWA Award winner and a top-20 in-season ranker whose work is trusted by DFS tournament winners and redraft champions. His predictions span the fantasy landscape—draft rankings, sleepers, busts, player stat projections, and depth chart calls—covering quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Lamar Jackson, pass-catchers like CeeDee Lamb and Travis Kelce, and running backs like Christian McCaffrey across teams from the Chiefs to the Lions.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
64 graded calls in 11 articles, newest first — page 1 of 3. Every take from Rich Hribar, including the ones still waiting →
Tua Tagovailoa to be 1st on the depth chart
113waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Rich Hribar would be #27; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #24.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Dan Graziano | 33.3 | 50% | 10 |
| 23 | Jordan Dajani | 32.79 | 66.1% | 116 |
| 24 | Rich Hribar | 32.68 | 68.79% | 64 |
| 25 | Daniel Jeremiah | 32.65 | 75.27% | 277 |
| 26 | Bucky Brooks | 31.2 | 73.7% | 119 |
“Right now, Tua Tagovailoa is at the top of the depth chart for Week 2, but we will have to track his status throughout the week.”
Malik Willis to be 1st on the depth chart
“Still, the setup for Week 1 is favorable enough that I would consider Willis a strong floor-based QB2 ... We know Willis can run, which will be the vehicle for a higher floor for fantasy.”