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Sleeper Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
1,252
Graded
179

14% settled

Average accuracy
53.1

out of 100

Pundits
79

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
95 scored 80+84 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

179 / 1,252

graded

1,073 still pending

By season

  • 2025179 of 183 graded
  • 20260 of 1069 graded

Who is good at sleeper calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every sleeper calls take

1026–1050 of 1,252

  • PendingPat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls2026 season

    Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (forty one overall tight end number three)

    it's exciting to think about what Lovelan's numbers could look like if he outkicks those expectations. And I think he could

    Colston LovelandChicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 14, 2026the article →
  • PendingPat FitzmauriceSleeper Calls2026 season

    Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (going late second, maybe even early third in some drafts)

    It's Brock Powers... you don't have to take Bowers anywhere near the first round like he's going late second, maybe even early third in some drafts... I think like late second round is a great price

    Brock BowersLas Vegas Raiders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 1, 2026the article →
  • PendingScott BogmanSleeper Calls2026 season

    Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (pick one to nineteen)

    I think he's gonna be number two in targets for this team. I'd rather have him at pick one to nineteen than Laporta at eighty five. Give me a post one hundred tight end like Isaiah Likely with a lot of upside

    Isaiah LikelyNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jun 1, 2026the article →
  • PendingSeth WoolcockSleeper Calls2026 season

    Gabe Nabers to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver nine ECR twenty overall late in the second round)

    wide receiver nine currently ECR twenty overall at that price tag, I'm still in. I'm willing to take the gamble just for the bowl case

    Gabe Nabers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingSeth WoolcockSleeper Calls2026 season

    Jeremiyah Love to outplay his draft cost (RB thirteen to twenty nine overall)

    But the price tag is reasonable, Bogs at least RB thirteen to twenty nine overall... I think I'm still in at the price tag

    Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingTera RobertsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Matthew Golden to outplay his draft cost (late round)

    I think I will be taking a lot of late round dark brows at Matthew Golden because I think he kind of offers what... the happy medium

    Matthew GoldenGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026
  • PendingSeth WoolcockSleeper Calls2026 season

    Jaxson Dart to outplay his draft cost (QB seven and ECR sixty overall)

    QB seven and ECR sixty overall currently is the price tag for Jackson's Dart... I'll take all the Jackson Dart I can get here in fantasy.

    Jaxson Dart

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026the article →
  • PendingTera RobertsSleeper Calls2026 season

    Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (an RB three)

    Do you think maybe there is a second your breakout looming for Tutin? I do. I'm pro Tutin... So we're probably going to be drafting Tuton as an RB three So what value. I'm good with it

    Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026
  • PendingAndrew EricksonSleeper Calls2026 season

    Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (ECR wide receiver twenty one)

    if you look at him in the ECR wide receiver twenty one, I mean that is a breakout candidate worthy position... So that's my long winded answer of saying Luther burn is a breakout candidate.

    Luther Burden IIIChicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 25, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls2026 season

    Christian Watson to outplay his draft cost (right now in ECR he's fifty sixth overall, he's wide receiver twenty seven)

    But really the productivity was there where I don't understand, Like right now in ECR he's fifty sixth overall, he's wide receiver twenty seven... he's my wide receiver twenty one. I've got him at forty forty feth overall

    Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownSleeper Calls2026 season

    Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (He's wide receiver forty one. In ECR... ECR has him in ninety fifth)

    How in the ever love and hell is Parker Washington outside the top seventy five players... he's my wide receiver twenty seven. He's wide receiver forty one. In ECR, I have him as a fifty third overall player.

    Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingJake CielySleeper Calls2026 season

    Alec Pierce to outplay his draft cost (people still have him down in like the thirties)

    we finally got the breakout, and then people still have him down in like the thirties. I like, I have him with eight spots over consensus, and that's still only wide receiver twenty six.

    Alec Pierce

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingJake CielySleeper Calls2026 season

    Caleb Douglas to outplay his draft cost (completely undrafted and then undrafted and then still undrafted and redraft)

    there's no reason that he should be way down off the charts on rookie let alone, way down out of the ranks, completely undrafted and then undrafted and then still undrafted and redraft

    Caleb DouglasMiami Dolphins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 16, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrandon CarneySleeper Calls2026 season

    Jayden Higgins to outplay his draft cost (a hundred and twenty first overall)

    So Jayden Higgins is at a hundred and twenty first overall. It's a cheap gamble that CJ Stroud figures it the fuck out... So I just think him around this range, is a is a good bet for a breakout.

    Jayden HigginsHouston Texans

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrandon CarneySleeper Calls2026 season

    Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (65 overall ADP)

    if I got to pick here, I'm picking Basile too, and the guy's going, I want to say in the 70s or so right now... So 65 overall ADP currently. And for a guy that I think has as much RB one sort of breakout potential as there is

    Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingPat GustavsonSleeper Calls2026 season

    Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (139 overall, RB47)

    So I love him. 139 overall, RB47, I think that's a phenomenal later round pick whether you have Chuba Hubbard or not.

    Jonathon BrooksCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingPat GustavsonSleeper Calls2026 season

    Marvin Harrison Jr. to outplay his draft cost (Seventieth)

    It's Marvin Harrison Junior... His ranking now has got to pull back up the rankings. Where is he at? Seventieth.

    Marvin Harrison Jr.Arizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrandon CarneySleeper Calls2026 season

    Parker Washington to outplay his draft cost (ninety fifth overall in consensus rankings)

    we are talking about a guy who is going ninety fifth overall in consensus rankings... So I'm going to Parker Washington.

    Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingPat GustavsonSleeper Calls2026 season

    Colston Loveland to outplay his draft cost (tight end three)

    I think Colston Loveland here is the obvious choice and I think he's still fair for a breakout because he hasn't fully done it yet... The guy's a tight end three, and I think that's very appropriate.

    Colston LovelandChicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 13, 2026the article →
  • PendingBob HarrisSleeper Calls2026 season

    Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (QB nineteen)

    the ECR has him as QB nineteen. You have him a little bit highert QB sixteen... if you find yourself at the tail end of the quarterback two lists, I think he's won with upside... that rushing equity is going to give him at least some upside

    Malik WillisMiami Dolphins

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026
  • PendingBob HarrisSleeper Calls2026 season

    Emeka Egbuka to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four)

    But I think this is a new year. I'll be investing in this. If you're getting him in the fourth round, If I'm drafting hero running back and he's my third wide receiver, oh I'd feel very good about that.

    Emeka Egbuka

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026
  • PendingScott BogmanSleeper Calls2026 season

    Isaiah Likely to outplay his draft cost (tight end thirteen)

    Isaiah Likely right now is ranked as tight end thirteen. Bods, you haven't even hired a tight end ten... I just think Likely is already going to be second for targets in this offense this year

    Isaiah LikelyNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingBob HarrisSleeper Calls2026 season

    Alec Pierce to outplay his draft cost (thirty two)

    I'll be drafting a ton of him at cost because that range of outcomes is super high... I think he's priced right.

    Alec PierceIndianapolis Colts

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026
  • PendingJoe PisapiaSleeper Calls2026 season

    Makai Lemon to outplay his draft cost (wide Receiver thirty nine)

    sure at wide Receiver thirty nine, which is the ECR, and also where Bogwin has him. I'm incredibly in on McKay lemon

    Makai LemonPhiladelphia Eagles

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026the article →
  • PendingBob HarrisSleeper Calls2026 season

    Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty five)

    he's RB twenty five... It's a reasonable price. I'd be happy taking a chance on him at this price.

    Bhayshul TutenJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026

By sport

NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.