Jake Ciely#20 of 87 NFL pundits · May 16, 2026
Seey argues Alec Pierce is being badly underranked as Indianapolis' clear top receiver, likes Josh Downs and DJ Moore as undervalued, warns that Brian Thomas is vastly overrated after being reduced to a field-stretcher, and says rookie Caleb Douglas has the inside track to start outside for Miami despite being undrafted in fantasy.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Jake Ciely said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromI have Alec Pierce in the conversation to be a wide receiver two because he's going to get one hundred and twenty thirty targets.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - 4 Fantasy Football DRAFT VALUES Experts Love to Target | Players Who Will Outperform Their Rankings (Ep. 2024)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- 1Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart“I do have Parker Washington, as anybody who watched that video, as the highest Jaguars wide receiver.”
- 2Caleb Douglas to outplay his draft cost (completely undrafted and then undrafted and then still undrafted and redraft)“there's no reason that he should be way down off the charts on rookie let alone, way down out of the ranks, completely undrafted and then undrafted and then still undrafted and redraft”
- 3Alec Pierce to outplay his draft cost (people still have him down in like the thirties)“we finally got the breakout, and then people still have him down in like the thirties. I like, I have him with eight spots over consensus, and that's still only wide receiver twenty six.”
- 4Alec Pierce to be 1st on the depth chart“the one has the very little competition if any, to be the one and Alec Piers... This team clearly wants him to be the one.”
- 5Caleb Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart“So Caleb Douglas has the inside track to be the outside starting wide receiver from day one, even if Bell is healthy.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart1 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Caleb Douglas to outplay his draft cost (completely undrafted and then undrafted and then still undrafted and redraft)2 | Sleeper Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Alec Pierce to outplay his draft cost (people still have him down in like the thirties)3 | Sleeper Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Alec Pierce to be 1st on the depth chart4 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| Caleb Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart5 | Depth Chart Calls | — | — | — | — | |
| 5 calls · 5 waiting | — | — | ||||
How each call scored
5 checkable claims — 3 depth chart calls and 2 sleeper calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.
Of the 3 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Where this call stands in the room
Caleb Douglas · 2026 season21 calls from 13 pundits between 1 and 2. Jake Ciely said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against the room
Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.
1Depth Chart CallsParker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars
Parker Washington to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
2Sleeper CallsCaleb DouglasMiami Dolphins
Caleb Douglas to outplay his draft cost (completely undrafted and then undrafted and then still undrafted and redraft)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Alec Pierce to outplay his draft cost (people still have him down in like the thirties)
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Alec Pierce to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
5Depth Chart CallsCaleb DouglasMiami Dolphins
Caleb Douglas to be 1st on the depth chart
VerdictWaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
AJ Hawk · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Hawk picked the Jaguars to beat the Ravens on the road, predicting roughly a 17-point margin.Connor "Boston Connor" Campbell · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Connor believed Baltimore would keep it close but still said Jacksonville wins the game outright.Nick Wright · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Wright expects the 49ers to release Brandon Aiyuk once they report, predicts Jacksonville blows out Baltimore on Thursday night, sees the Jaguars finishing around 13-4 or 14-3, and thinks Seattle's defense carries them past Arizona even with Drew Lock starting.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Rogers agreed the Bears have the NFL's best offense, picked Minnesota as the league's best total defense, and picked Jacksonville to beat Baltimore on Thursday night.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 83
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Mark Morales-Smith · Game Outcome Picks · Jacksonville Jaguars · Hit 100
Within a Week 9 fantasy sleeper column, they state that Jacksonville is almost certain to blow out Baltimore, with the Jaguars running the ball through the second half and fourth quarter.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Michael Moore · Depth Chart Calls · Shedeur Sanders · Hit 100
In a Week 9 injury roundup, Moore forecast which banged-up fantasy contributors would play or sit: Deshaun Watson, Garrett Wilson, David Montgomery, Mike Evans, Deebo Samuel, TreVeyon Henderson and Terrance Ferguson are expected out, while Travis Kelce, Saquon Barkley, Michael Wilson, Christian Watson and Emeka Egbuka should play. They also expect Shedeur Sanders and Drew Lock to start at quarterback.Nic Bodiford · Depth Chart Calls · Joe Fagnano · Hit 100
Previewing Week 9 running game matchups, Bodiford expects Jacksonville to win lopsidedly over a depleted Baltimore team, with Bhayshul Tuten sitting out and Chris Rodriguez taking over as lead back, while Joe Fagnano starts at quarterback for the Ravens. They also view Broncos rookie Jonah Coleman as an RB2 going forward.