Sleeper Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 1,252
- Graded
- 179
- Average accuracy
- 53.1
- Pundits
- 79
14% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
179 / 1,252
graded
1,073 still pending
By season
- 2025179 of 183 graded
- 20260 of 1069 graded
Who is good at sleeper calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Tom Strachan75 accuracy · 16 graded+100.0
- Seth Woolcock67 accuracy · 3 graded+66.7
- Derek Brown60 accuracy · 34 graded+40.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice56 accuracy · 28 graded+22.4
- Ryan Wormeli55 accuracy · 11 graded+20.0
- Sean Kerner50 accuracy · 2 graded+0.0
- Mason Dodd47 accuracy · 15 graded-13.3
- Andrew Erickson46 accuracy · 25 graded-17.1
- Chris Raybon43 accuracy · 7 graded-28.6
- Joe Pisapia40 accuracy · 6 graded-40.0
- Chris Welsh33 accuracy · 11 graded-66.7
- Joe Dolan33 accuracy · 6 graded-66.7
- Terrell Furman Jr33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Scott Bogman33 accuracy · 3 graded-66.7
- Jake Ciely17 accuracy · 8 graded-133.3
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)44.1 · 179 graded
Every sleeper calls take
1001–1025 of 1,252
Tucker Kraft to outplay his draft cost (ECR sixty five)
ECR sixty five usually about in ADP. The fifth tight end coming off the board. It's Tucker Craft... And the moment that Tucker Craft is clear... his ADP's absolutely taken at least around jump.
- PendingAdam MurfetSleeper Calls2026 season
Kyren Williams to outplay his draft cost (RB fourteen)
I think he's a nice significant value if you're looking for wide receiver... Kiraen Williams can tick that box and get a nice value for you in round three.
Kyren WilliamsLos Angeles Rams
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 4, 2026 - PendingAdam MurfetSleeper Calls2026 season
Kenyon Sadiq to outplay his draft cost (your last round)
I think he is a player who is going to dominate as the season gets on... Pick him up in your last round.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 4, 2026 Tyler Allgeier to outplay his draft cost (ECR one thirty three)
I don't think that we should assume Tyler Alger can't have good fantasy value or at least really strong contingent value behind Jeremiah Love... I'm not ready to give up on Tyler Algier.
- PendingAdam MurfetSleeper Calls2026 season
J.K. Dobbins to outplay his draft cost (RB twenty nine)
you're picking a player in the in sort of the ninety overall, you're picking him around RB twenty nine... I think you've got a genuine starter who will get you off to a good start
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 4, 2026 Zay Flowers to outplay his draft cost (ECR of thirty four)
He's my twenty eighth player overall compared to the ECR of thirty four, and he's my wife's sue thirteen.
- PendingAdam MurfetSleeper Calls2026 season
Daniel Jones to outplay his draft cost (QB twenty five)
I'm quite happy to take the go at QB twenty five in the hopes that he does
Daniel JonesIndianapolis Colts
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 4, 2026 Makai Lemon to outplay his draft cost (ECR of ninety three)
getting him all the way down like ECR of ninety three, I think I've got him eighty second overall
- PendingAdam MurfetSleeper Calls2026 season
Michael Pittman to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver forty one)
I think he's going to massively outperform that wide receiver forty one placing
Michael PittmanPittsburgh Steelers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Jul 4, 2026 DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (his ADP is around top twenty twenty one two)
But at the chance that he does boom in a big way, like debro outlined, yeah, I would, I like to say I'm more in on Dj more than out.
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (his ECR ... is the twenty eighth wide receiver)
I'm buying into the DJ Moore boom. But it seems like the ECR isn't
Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (a locked and loaded top twenty four guy)
I'm drafting him, and I think he's gonna boom. I think he's gonna boom in this offense
DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (he is wide receiver twenty three, so best ball drafters are putting more respect on his name)
By the way, Dj Moore, I'm closer to him being a boom... They need a step on Diggs in this offense, and they think the DJ Moore can be that this year, and I agree with them.
Bhayshul Tuten to outplay his draft cost (ECRs in between you guys at sixty five)
Ericsson's at sixty... So I think tune is so clear the upside play for this Jaguars offense, and I'm just not gonna let a player like Chris Rodriguez... I get feels of Chase Brown to base all two in year two
Mark Andrews to outplay his draft cost (ecs in between at one thirty)
pat has n't at one oh four... So I think if you punt tight end, Andrews is a worthwhile target.
Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (the consensus has Chase Brown at seventeen)
I'm the high man on Chase Brown... I think that he's going to see a bellcow type of usage in a Joe Burrow led offense... I think the Bengals have all the incentive in the world to run Chase Brown into the ground
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (the east Yar at one sixteen)
Ericson, you've got it at seventy three... He is basically free. You can get him as your RB three, RB four, and I think that he has RB one upside.
Jameson Williams to outplay his draft cost (fifty on the button that ECR)
Pat is above at forty one... I don't want to forget about the season splits for Jamison Williams last year and how much better the second half was than the first half.
Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (ECRI a forty eight)
I love Jail Waddle this year... So Jamalen Wada for me going as a wide receiver towo. I think he's got wide receiver one upside.
Kyren Williams to outplay his draft cost (this sort of late third round valuation)
right now, with this sort of late third round valuation, McVeigh could turn up the dials a little bit on Blake Koram's usage and scale back on Kyron, and Kyron could still pay off on this price point.
Christian McCaffrey to outplay his draft cost (that mid first round pick)
Pat has them ranked number seven overall... So I think we just need to get like twelve or thirteen games, fourteen games out of him to have him be worth that mid first round pick... that's why I'm willing to draft Christian McCaffrey in the middle of the first round.
Rachaad White to outplay his draft cost (late round)
I think Rashan White is actually a more intriguing late round running back to take.
Rashee Rice to outplay his draft cost (ECRs at twenty seven overall)
So you're at twenty one ECRs at twenty seven overall... then Rice could absolutely smash... it's a top five guy that you can get outside... the top twelve wide receivers.
Kyle Pitts to outplay his draft cost (ECRs at eighty six)
I know people like hating on Kyle Pitts, but he's going to be a value in drafts yet again this year.
Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (outside the top thirty running backs)
Of the three names you mentioned, there was only one of them that was in my must have targets and his name is Jonathan Brooks... He's just a late run running back with a ton of upside that I think when push comes to shove, you're just gonna want to make sure you get them on your team.
By sport
NFL — sleeper calls (179 graded)
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