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NFL predictions 2026, graded against results

Football pundits, and how their calls actually turned out. See the leaderboard for who is ahead, browse this week’s games to see who the room is picking, or dig into any single take below.

Takes logged: 27,516
Graded: 10,708
Pundits: 812
Average accuracy: 62.0

By player →
What pundits expect of one person, and how it turned out.
By team →
Everything predicted about one club, including who they were mocked to take.

Seasons in review

2025 2024 2023 2022

How NFL calls land

Every graded call, bucketed by score out of 100.

Takes in each band

2921

173

213

176

296

377

326

503

The middle ground

The same graded calls, zoomed to the bands between the spikes — every take that earned partial credit.

Takes in each band

173

213

176

296

377

326

503

654

DiscussedAll time Last 30 days Last 90 days Last 180 days 2026 2025 2024 2023

Most-discussed players

All players →

The people pundits predict most.

By kind of prediction

How each is graded →

Average accuracy wherever anything has been graded, grouped by what the call is about.

The draft3,297 graded

Combine Superlatives100.0 · 4 graded
Prospect vs Prospect Calls78.6 · 16 graded
Team Draft Slot Calls78.2 · 47 graded
Position Order Calls

Who is beating the baseline

Full leaderboard →

Zero means no better than a naive guess. Shown once a pundit has 3 graded articles; every rating is provisional.

Rafael Zamorano3 articles+178.0
Nick Pedone3 articles+143.3

Every NFL take

1451–1475 of 10,708

SearchOpinion type

654

5069

020406080

0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it

Settled or waiting

10,708 / 27,516

takes graded

16,808 awaiting a result

20

40

60

80

10 — mostly wrongscore out of 10089 — nearly right

2,718 graded takes land strictly between the extremes, and the shape has a story: the counts climb as the scores improve. A take that earns partial credit is far more likely to be nearly right than nearly wrong.

This is where the curve-graded kinds live — mock draft picks (2,039), score predictions (503) and depth chart calls (198) — the kinds where missing by a little costs a little, not everything.

Fernando MendozaQB

236 takes

Jeremiyah LoveRB191 takes

Kyler MurrayQB155 takes

Sonny StylesLB135 takes

Carnell TateWR133 takes

Ty SimpsonQB133 takes

Tyler ShoughQB120 takes

Malik WillisQB119 takes

Most-discussed teams

The clubs pundits predict most.

Buffalo Bills1251 takes
Los Angeles Rams1138 takes
Philadelphia Eagles1114 takes
Kansas City Chiefs1030 takes
New Orleans Saints956 takes
Dallas Cowboys935 takes
Seattle Seahawks909 takes
Green Bay Packers887 takes

Least-discussed teams

The clubs punditry forgets. Fans notice.

Indianapolis Colts433 takes
Atlanta Falcons443 takes
Tennessee Titans498 takes
Arizona Cardinals537 takes
Carolina Panthers546 takes
New York Jets571 takes
Pittsburgh Steelers584 takes
Tampa Bay Buccaneers596 takes

78.1 · 187 graded

Combine Measurements68.8 · 41 graded

Mock Draft Picks66.0 · 3000 graded

Draft Bust Calls50.0 · 2 graded

The season race1,566 graded

Playoff Picks59.5 · 504 graded
Season Win Totals49.1 · 307 graded
Seeding, Byes and Home Field39.2 · 56 graded
Super Bowl Picks34.3 · 139 graded
Division Winners27.4 · 366 graded
Conference Champions25.1 · 194 graded

Single games2,708 graded

Score Predictions59.4 · 542 graded
Game Outcome Picks58.0 · 2166 graded

Players and rosters2,809 graded

Roster Spot Calls90.0 · 1581 graded
Depth Chart Calls88.5 · 581 graded
Trade and Signing Calls53.2 · 202 graded
Player Season Numbers35.9 · 153 graded
Positional Finishes35.0 · 292 graded

Awards and honors487 graded

Award Picks21.2 · 355 graded
Coach Award Picks18.2 · 67 graded
Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls0.0 · 65 graded

Rankings and lists266 graded

Power Rankings66.1 · 160 graded
Top Player Lists56.9 · 83 graded
Position Group Rankings52.5 · 16 graded
Head Coach Rankings41.7 · 7 graded

Fantasy football281 graded

Fantasy Rankings66.1 · 58 graded
Fantasy Bust Calls57.9 · 38 graded
Fantasy Defense Rankings54.2 · 3 graded
Sleeper Calls53.1 · 179 graded
Fantasy Defense Calls52.8 · 3 graded

Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz3 articles

+122.0

Bradley Locker3 articles+114.7

Jack Markowski6 articles+100.0

Zachary Pereles4 articles+100.0

Dwaine Board3 articles+100.0

Greg Auman5 articles+99.4

Verdict

Season

Sort

Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Ed Oliver to make the roster
Defensive Line (6) Ed Oliver
Ed OliverBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Sam Franklin Jr. to make the roster
Sam Franklin sticks around due to his special teams ability.
Sam Franklin Jr.Buffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Dion Dawkins to make the roster
Offensive Line (9) Dion Dawkins
Dion DawkinsBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Kaleb Elarms-Orr to make the roster
Inside Linebacker (4) ... Kaleb Elarms-Orr
Kaleb Elarms-OrrBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Khalil Shakir to make the roster
Wide Receiver (5) ... Khalil Shakir
Khalil ShakirBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
T.J. Parker to make the roster
EDGE (5) ... T.J. Parker
T.J. ParkerBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Javon Solomon to make the roster
third-year pro Javon Solomon takes the fifth and final
Javon SolomonBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Greg Rousseau to make the roster
EDGE (5) Greg Rousseau
Greg RousseauBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Davison Igbinosun to make the roster
Cornerback (6) ... Davison Igbinosun
Davison IgbinosunBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Damar Hamlin to make the roster
Safety (5) ... Damar Hamlin
Damar HamlinBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Miss · 0Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be cut
Notable cuts : Ar'Maj Reed-Adams, Sedrick Van Pran-Granger
Ar'maj Reed-AdamsBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Keleki Latu to make the roster
Buffalo going thin at receiver allows them to keep Keleki Latu.
Keleki LatuBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Deone Walker to make the roster
Defensive Line (6) ... Deone Walker
Deone WalkerBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Skyler Bell to make the roster
Wide Receiver (5) ... Skyler Bell
Skyler BellBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Reid Ferguson to make the roster
Reid Ferguson, LS
Reid FergusonBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Tyler Bass to make the roster
Specialist (3) Tyler Bass, K
Tyler BassBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Jordan Hancock to make the roster
Jordan Hancock's versatility keeps him on the roster
Jordan HancockBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Jude Bowry to make the roster
Offensive Line (9) ... Jude Bowry
Jude BowryBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 0+200 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Dalton Kincaid to make the roster
Tight End (4) Dalton Kincaid
Dalton KincaidBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Michael Hoecht to make the roster
EDGE (5) ... Michael Hoecht
Michael HoechtBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Ray Davis to make the roster
Running Back (4) ... Ray Davis
Ray DavisBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
C.J. Gardner-Johnson to make the roster
Safety (5) ... C.J. Gardner-Johnson
C.J. Gardner-JohnsonBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Miss · 0Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Joe Andreessen to be cut
Notable cuts: Joe Andreesen
Joe AndreessenBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100-200 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Josh Allen to make the roster
Quarterback (2) Josh Allen Kyle Allen
Josh AllenBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →
Hit · 100Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls2026 season
Dee Alford to make the roster
Cornerback (6) ... Dee Alford
Dee AlfordBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 100+0 skillsaid Aug 28, 2026the article →

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