Kansas City Chiefs won it all. The people predicting football went 20.7 for 100.
The Kansas City Chiefs (14–3) won the Super Bowl over the Philadelphia Eagles (14–3). Along the way, 21 pundits made 151 claims specific enough to grade against it.
Super Bowl champions
KC
Takes graded
151
against 2022 results
Pundits on the record
21
Average accuracy
20.7
out of 100
How accurate were 2022 NFL predictions?
Across 151 graded predictions about the 2022 NFL season, the average call scored 20.7 out of 100, 10.5 points above a naive guess on the same questions. 20% were hits (80 or better) and 78% were misses (under 40).
What was hard to call in 2022
Average score by kind of claim, ten graded minimum — the shape of the season's difficulty.
Best skill against a naive guess on the same claims, ten graded calls minimum in the season. A provisional record — fewer than ten graded articles in all — is shown and labeled, never named best.
Pundits ranked by skill against a naive guess in the 2022 season