The 2025 NFL Season, Graded

Seattle Seahawks won it all. The people predicting football went 55.2 for 100.

The Seattle Seahawks (14–3) won the Super Bowl over the New England Patriots (14–3). Along the way, 257 pundits made 4,774 claims specific enough to grade against it.

Super Bowl champions: SEA
Takes graded: 4,774
Pundits on the record: 257
Average accuracy: 55.2

How accurate were 2025 NFL predictions?

Across 4,774 graded predictions about the 2025 NFL season, the average call scored 55.2 out of 100, 11.9 points above a naive guess on the same questions. 46% were hits (80 or better) and 39% were misses (under 40).

Who predicted the 2025 season's Super Bowl winner?

Graded picks from named pundits to win the 2025 season's Super Bowl. A pundit who picked more than one team over the year counts once among the pundits and once per pick in the tally. Every pick is on the Super Bowl picks page.

23 of the 63 pundits with a graded Super Bowl pick for the 2025 season named the Seattle Seahawks at least once (29 of 106 graded picks); the earliest on record was Adam Ray, on Aug 28, 2025.

What was hardest to predict in the 2025 NFL season?

Average score by kind of claim, ten graded minimum — the shape of the season's difficulty.

Coach Award Picks calls were the hardest to get right in 2025, averaging 19.0 out of 100 across 42 graded calls; Depth Chart Calls calls were the easiest, at 94.1.

Coach Award Picks42 graded19.0
Conference Champions150 graded20.3
Division Winners303 graded24.8
Award Picks178 graded28.7
Player Season Numbers83 graded33.7
Super Bowl Picks106 graded34.0
Positional Finishes182 graded36.5
Seeding, Byes and Home Field41 graded39.0
Season Win Totals232 graded47.6
Position Group Rankings10 graded48.0
Trade and Signing Calls91 graded48.4
Sleeper Calls178 graded52.8
Top Player Lists42 graded55.6
Playoff Picks388 graded57.5
Fantasy Bust Calls38 graded57.9
Power Rankings130 graded60.0
Game Outcome Picks654 graded60.7
Pro Bowl and All-Pro Calls50 graded62.0
Mock Draft Picks1209 graded63.0
Score Predictions137 graded64.4
Fantasy Rankings40 graded65.9
Combine Measurements38 graded68.1
Roster Spot Calls11 graded72.7
Position Order Calls84 graded74.7
Team Draft Slot Calls38 graded75.7
Depth Chart Calls300 graded94.1

Who made the best 2025 NFL predictions?

Best skill against a naive guess on the same claims, ten graded calls minimum in the season. A provisional record — fewer than ten graded articles in all — is shown and labeled, never named best.

Among pundits with a settled record and ten or more graded calls on the 2025 season, Damonza Byrd beat a naive guess by the widest margin: +64.1 points of skill across 14 graded calls, averaging 65.7 out of 100.

Pundits ranked by skill against a naive guess in the 2025 season
Pundit	Graded	Accuracy	Skill
Chris Welshprovisional	19	77.6	+87.7
Matt Hasselbeckprovisional	10	60.0	+80.0
Brandon Andersonprovisional	19	68.4	+73.7
Damonza Byrd	14	65.7	+64.1
Steve Wycheprovisional	13	76.3	+61.5
Joel Klattprovisional	14	89.6	+59.1
Peter Schrager	18	75.5	+56.1
David Harrison	20	60.8	+52.1