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The 2024 NFL Season, Graded
The Philadelphia Eagles (14–3) won the Super Bowl over the Kansas City Chiefs (15–2). Along the way, 59 pundits made 629 claims specific enough to grade against it.
against 2024 results
out of 100
Across 629 graded predictions about the 2024 NFL season, the average call scored 61.7 out of 100, 3.0 points above a naive guess on the same questions. 51% were hits (80 or better) and 31% were misses (under 40).
3 of the 11 pundits with a graded Super Bowl pick for the 2024 season named the Philadelphia Eagles at least once (3 of 23 graded picks); the earliest on record was John Middlekauff, on Jan 7, 2025.
Award Picks calls were the hardest to get right in 2024, averaging 43.6 out of 100 across 39 graded calls; Depth Chart Calls calls were the easiest, at 90.1.
Among pundits with a settled record and ten or more graded calls on the 2024 season, Rich Hribar beat a naive guess by the widest margin: +26.4 points of skill across 50 graded calls, averaging 50.6 out of 100.
| Pundit | Graded | Accuracy | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rich Hribar | 50 | 50.6 | +26.4 |
| Dan Pizzutaprovisional | 14 | 81.7 | +25.0 |
| 35 |
| 73.8 |
| +22.9 |
| Richard Sherman | 24 | 65.6 | +17.1 |
|---|
| Marcus Mosher | 71 | 79.2 | +13.4 |
|---|
| Sports Info Solutions | 64 | 73.5 | +10.3 |
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| Cynthia Frelund | 12 | 74.7 | +8.3 |
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| Rich Eisen | 50 | 61.0 | +3.1 |
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