The 2023 NFL Season, Graded

Kansas City Chiefs won it all. The people predicting football went 64.3 for 100.

The Kansas City Chiefs (11–6) won the Super Bowl over the San Francisco 49ers (12–5). Along the way, 14 pundits made 198 claims specific enough to grade against it.

Super Bowl champions: KC
Takes graded: 198
Pundits on the record: 14
Average accuracy: 64.3

What was hard to call in 2023

Average score by kind of claim, ten graded minimum — the shape of the season's difficulty.

Positional Finishes11 graded45.5
Playoff Picks14 graded50.0
Season Win Totals33 graded56.4
Top Player Lists14 graded61.9
Mock Draft Picks

Pundit-seasons of 2023

Best skill against a naive guess on the same claims, ten graded calls minimum in the season.

Pundits ranked by skill against a naive guess in the 2023 season
Pundit	Graded	Accuracy	Skill
Brendan Donahue	18	77.1	+50.5
Ryan McCrystal	36	60.5	+40.4