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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
95.2% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where First Things First (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 11 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
176–200 of 574
277 / 574
graded
297 still pending
Atlanta Falcons to finish with 9 wins
Sure. Nine and eight Atlanta Falcons.
Houston Texans to win the division
And that means, of course, the Houston Texans winning this division.
I think Bijan might be number one on the NFL 100 next year. I think it's possible he has that type of year.
Jadarian Price to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
So I think Jadarian price, the pop. I think he's going to get ample opportunities... So that's my pick.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
Brew picked them to finish third in the division, but make the playoffs.
Indianapolis Colts to finish with 7 wins
Seven wins. Third place, Indianapolis Colts.
New Orleans Saints to finish with 8 wins
I have the Saints winning eight... I'm going eight and nine just missing.
Jacksonville Jaguars to finish with 6–7 wins
In third place, a huge regression... For the Jacksonville Jaguars... talking about a a six or seven win football [team]
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to win the division
we know that you'll have bucks number one... Baker's got a chip on his shoulder... Baker's gonna cook.
A.J. Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards
I think he'd be, like, a top 10 receiver to have a great year for them
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
Yesterday, his division, NFC North... Lions, Bears.
Ja'Kobi Lane to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
I'm going with the aforementioned... Jacoby Lane... I think Lane is gonna be big for them.
De'Zhaun Stribling to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
DeJaun Stribling? Absolutely... I think Purdy's gonna find that he's gonna be a go to guy early and often.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat expectations
Because I really do think that the Jags are one of those teams that were kind of sleeping on a bit based on what they did last year.
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
So if you see the best version of Daniel Jones for a full year, I think the Colts come in the AFC South.
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
so now now we have niners, Rams Seahawks in.
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
so now now we have niners, Rams Seahawks in.
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
The Pats, Broncos, and Ravens.
Cincinnati Bengals to win the division
I had the Bengals winning the AFC North.
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
Yesterday, his division, NFC North... Lions, Bears.
Houston Texans to win the division
I think they are the legitimate favorites in that division even though I like the Jags.
Baltimore Ravens to finish with 13 wins
I think they're gonna be thirteen and four.
A.J. Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards
I think the most likely outcome is somewhere like tenth
Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs
but I think they are going to be a perennial playoff contender. I have him back in.
Tetairoa McMillan to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards
I love Tete McMillan. I think he could be a top 10 receiver by the end of the year.