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Nick Wright covers the NFL across Fox Sports, First Things First, What's Wright?, The Herd with Colin Cowherd, and Around the NFL. Wright's predictions focus on the Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, Buccaneers, Seahawks, Rams, Jaguars, and Patriots, with calls on Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and others spanning game outcomes, season win totals, playoff berths, and player accolades.
More about Nick Wright ↓Writes at First Things First (podcast)
Across 403 graded calls in 80 articles, Nick Wright scores 58.97% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 18.09, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles. That ranks #49 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard. Their strongest kind of call is Mock Draft Picks (82.26% accuracy across 95 graded calls); their weakest is Division Winners (16.67% across 12 graded calls).
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 769 calls · one square per 5 calls
191hits47% of graded
59Close15%
153misses38%
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
Teams and players where Nick Wright keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle.
Outside the room in 5 of 16 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
Nick Wright covers the NFL across Fox Sports, First Things First, What's Wright?, The Herd with Colin Cowherd, and Around the NFL. Wright's predictions focus on the Chiefs, Bills, Ravens, Buccaneers, Seahawks, Rams, Jaguars, and Patriots, with calls on Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen, and others spanning game outcomes, season win totals, playoff berths, and player accolades.
A longer profile is written once a record reaches 30 graded articles, and published only after a person reviews it.
403 graded calls in 83 articles, newest first — page 1 of 12. Every take from Nick Wright, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
366waitingnot graded yet
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Nick Wright would be #50; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #49.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47 | Kevin Wildes | 18.47 | 41.89% | 32 |
| 48 | John Middlekauff | 18.21 | 65.48% | 124 |
| 49 | Nick Wright | 18.09 | 58.97% | 403 |
| 50 | Pamela Maldonado | 17.59 | 44.58% | 40 |
| 51 | Pete Prisco | 17.02 | 58.6% | 203 |
Outside the room in 4 of 7 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 3 of 5 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 3 of 8 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always higher · when they strayed: 50.0 accuracy (2 settled)
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always higher · when they strayed: 100.0 accuracy (1 settled)
New England Patriots to beat Packers
“Who you got? Patriots... I think it's the patriots by about a field goal.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat New York Jets
“I believe Kansas City is gonna be eight and two going into Buffalo... Jets, Falcons, Cardinals, and then a brutal five game stretch”
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Chicago Bears
“I'm going with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers... Will the Bucks slow down Caleb and the Bears? I will say yes.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers 29%.
Detroit Lions to beat Miami
“Detroit's got to win. And I think they will win. I'm not comfortable though, laying a full touchdown”
Closing line (Nov 8): Lions by 6.5 · favorite pick, Lions 72%.
Houston Texans 27 — Chargers 12
“I think the Texans blow them out. I think this is 27. to 12 type of game”
Closing line (Nov 8): Texans by 5.5, total 40.5 · this 27–12 calls a bigger Texans win (by 15) and fewer points (39).
New England Patriots to beat Green Bay
“I think New England should win by three or four points. I think this will be a good game.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Carolina Panthers to beat Denver
“I think Carolina is going to win outright. I think this is a game Denver, after that huge Chiefs win, they don't get quite the late-game heroics”
Closing line (Nov 8): Broncos by 3 · underdog pick, Panthers 42%.
Kansas City Chiefs 31 — Jets 20
“I think this is a 31 to 20 Chiefs win”
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5, total 47.5 · this 31–20 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 11) and more points (51).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“I don't think it matters who's going to play quarterback for them this weekend. I think their defense against Gardner Minshew should be enough.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Ravens
“yes, I like the Jags to blow out the Ravens tonight... I don't think they have any shot at competing tonight. I think the Jags are going to put it on them.”
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%).
Buffalo Bills to beat Baltimore Ravens
“Josh is undefeated off of a buy seven and o. I'm going with the Buffalo Bills... With that said, I think Buffalo will win.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 59%.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Baltimore Ravens
“I already picked them to lose the Bills. I'm gonna be picking them to lose to the Jags.”
Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5 · favorite pick, Jaguars about 4 in 5 (79%).
Dallas Cowboys to beat Arizona
“I do think Dallas will win the game. I think Arizona covers the 6.5.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Cowboys by 7 · favorite pick, Cowboys about 3 in 4 (74%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Chicago Bears 17
“what I expect to be a 24-17 victory over the Chicago Bears, reminding everyone how dominant that defense is”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3, total 46.5 · this 24–17 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 7) and fewer points (41).
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Tennessee
“Tennessee at Cincinnati. Cincinnati laying 10.5. I think Cincinnati blows them out.”
Closing line (Nov 1): Bengals by 13.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 6 in 7 (86%). Graded on who won, not on the spread.