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Writes at The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)
Across 27 graded calls in 10 articles, Eric Mangini scores 30.3% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -42.82, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a limited sample, under thirty graded articles, so treat it with caution. That ranks #86 of 87 ranked NFL pundits on the MissedTakes leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 32 calls · one square per call
8hits30% of graded
1Close4%
18misses67%
5
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
27 graded calls in 10 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Eric Mangini, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Why the ranks differ: a naive guess scores very differently depending on which calls were made, from 15.25% on the hardest record here to 85.71% on the easiest. Accuracy alone flatters easy calls, so by accuracy Eric Mangini would be #82; the Score measures the lift over a naive guess on the same calls, and that puts this record at #86.
| # | Pundit | Score | Accuracy | Graded |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 83 | Matt Verderame | -35.45 | 20.74% | 42 |
| 84 | Patricia Traina | -36.23 | 43.1% | 68 |
| 85 | Brady Quinn | -39.33 | 52.59% | 110 |
| 86 | Eric Mangini | -42.82 | 30.3% | 27 |
| 87 | Conor Orr | -49.58 | 17.15% | 46 |
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Atlanta Falcons
“So I'm going 20 Woah. On the Bengals... he's gonna deliver for the... The fans, the international fans over in Spain.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Bengals by 3 · favorite pick, Bengals 62%.
Kansas City Chiefs to beat Jets
“But I just... I can't imagine they're they're gonna lose to the Jets.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Chiefs by 9.5 · favorite pick, Chiefs about 4 in 5 (80%).
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
“Yeah. I I like the Bills... So I'm just gonna go one chip on the Buffalo Bills.”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 62%.
New England Patriots to beat Green Bay
“New England will control the game... How about The Patriots by three? No. Patriots by more.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Chicago
“And now they're going to play the Tampa Bay Buccaneers... And Baker Mayfield is the type of quarterback that the bigger the chip, the bigger the challenge, the bigger he plays... could be problematic.”
Closing line (Nov 8): Bears by 6.5 · underdog pick, Buccaneers 29%.
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Broncos
“I'm going with one chip on the charger... They're gonna overlook the Chargers... and the Chargers will get a surprise upset win.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Broncos by 3.5 · underdog pick, Chargers 37%.
New England Patriots to beat Raiders
“it is the twenty fifth anniversary of that first Super Bowl run, which came with a big, big win over the Raiders. And I think the football gods will be shining on New England”
Closing line (Oct 11): Patriots by 3.5 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Los Angeles Rams to beat Bills
“I'm going two on the Rams... the Rams are better in terms of pass defense than Buffalo is and Stafford. It's gonna be a little bit of a get right game for him.”
Closing line (Oct 12): Rams by 3.5 · favorite pick, Rams 62%.
Tennessee Titans to beat Houston
“I am going with the Tennessee titans... In Tennessee, there's actually a feeling of, like, we're making some progress here.”
Closing line (Oct 11): Texans by 6.5 · underdog pick, Titans about 1 in 4 (27%).
Los Angeles Chargers to beat Buffalo Bills
“I'm taking the chargers over the Buffalo Bills... So Chargers over the Bills.”
Closing line (Sep 27): Bills by 7 · underdog pick, Chargers about 1 in 4 (27%).
Washington Commanders to beat Philadelphia
“The Washington Commandments... If Washington beats Philadelphia, coach gets eight and a half points.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Eagles by 6 · underdog pick, Commanders about 1 in 3 (32%).
Denver Broncos to beat Kansas City
“as much as I wanna go with Patrick, because I love him, I'm going with Denver too, but only with two.”
Closing line (Sep 14): Chiefs by 2.5 · underdog pick, Broncos 46%.
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Buccaneers
“This cat can still play. Buccaneers get mauled in the jungle by Joe Burrow and the Bengals.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Bengals by 3.5 · favorite pick, Bengals about 2 in 3 (64%).
Houston Texans to beat Bills
“So that being said, I see more sacks, more turnovers, and I'm going three for the Texans.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Bills by 1.5 · a toss-up, Bills 50%, Texans 50%.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Giants
“I feel so confident about it. I'm going, no. 10 on the Dallas Cowboys.”
Closing line (Sep 13): Cowboys by 3 · favorite pick, Cowboys 60%.