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Writes at Move the Sticks (podcast)
Across 10 graded calls in 5 articles, Willie Colon scores 53.57% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 17.45, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 15 calls · one square per call
5hits50% of graded
1Close10%
4misses40%
5
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
10 graded calls in 5 articles, newest first. Every take from Willie Colon, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Willie Colon isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Seattle Seahawks 24 — Patriots 14
“I think I'm I think I'm going twenty four fourteen.”
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 24–14 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 10) and fewer points (38).
Sam Darnold to win Super Bowl MVP
“I can see him getting MVP in this game. ... I'm going with Sam Darnold, DP.”
Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl
“I'm going with the Seattle Seahawks. I just feel like they're the most complete team”
Seattle Seahawks 28 — Patriots 21
“I'm going twenty one, twenty eight, twenty eight, twenty one.”
Closing line (Feb 8): Seahawks by 4.5, total 45.5 · this 28–21 calls a bigger Seahawks win (by 7) and more points (49).
Hunter Henry to win Super Bowl MVP
“Nevertheless, Hunter Henry can be the v Oh my god, if if there's two or three touchdowns”
New England Patriots to beat Texans
“Yeah. I'm going with the Pats and I'm going with, Stefon Diggs.”
Closing line (Jan 18): Patriots by 3 · favorite pick, Patriots 62%.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to beat Panthers
“Yeah. I got the butts... I expect baker to raise his level of play... I got the bucks.”
Closing line (Jan 3): Buccaneers by 3 · favorite pick, Buccaneers 58%.
San Francisco 49ers to beat Seahawks
“I got the San Francisco forty niners, man, and I'm going with CMC... So I had the Niners. I see them beat the Seahawks.”
Closing line (Jan 3): Seahawks by 2.5 · underdog pick, 49ers 43%.
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Baltimore
“Be the ultimate Judas, so I'm gonna pick the Pittsburgh Steelers.”
Closing line (Jan 4): Ravens by 4.5 · underdog pick, Steelers about 1 in 3 (34%).
Fred Warner to finish top 1 at his position, by sacks
“Fred Warner, for me to me, is the best linebacker in the league period... if I have to crown anybody amongst the linebacker group, it would be Fred Water”