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Writes at 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast)
Across 7 graded calls in 3 articles, Geoff Schwartz scores 25.83% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -35.44, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 17 calls · one square per call
1hits14% of graded
1Close14%
5misses71%
10
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
7 graded calls in 3 articles, newest first. Every take from Geoff Schwartz, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Geoff Schwartz isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Dallas Cowboys to beat Ravens
“If this game is close, I trust the cowboys to close out this game a little bit better on this weird turf... but I'll trust the Cowboys here”
Closing line (Sep 27): Ravens by 3 · underdog pick, Cowboys 40%.
Jacksonville Jaguars to beat New England Patriots
“I am way more confident than you are in this game. I'm taking Jacksonville for five tips here.”
Closing line (Sep 27): Jaguars by 3 · favorite pick, Jaguars 59%.
Cincinnati Bengals to beat Steelers
“So if if the voodoo is gone completely, it might have been more chips, but I'll keep two right now on the Bengals.”
Closing line (Sep 27): Bengals by 3.5 · favorite pick, Bengals 62%.
Detroit Lions to finish with 11 wins
“and the Lions do get a break this year of having that schedule that allows them to win games ... So I I could buy the Lions being over team.”
Seattle Seahawks to finish with 10 wins
“it feels like a team that if they're Darnold's ten fifteen percent worse. The offense isn't as good. You lose a couple of guys in defensive free agency, and you're just not as good. Next season, that could be a ten and seven team.”
Buffalo Bills to reach the Super Bowl
“I mean I will probably pick the Bills to win the AFC, but again, like they have to do it, Jay Mac, they can't beat the Chiefs.”
Jalen Hurts to finish top 5 at his position, by passing yards
“I would give Hurts probably the slight edge... But for right now, I think that's there's no problem putting Hurts five.”