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95.17% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Overreaction Monday (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 9 articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 0.0 accuracy (1 settled)
Outside the room in articles — always higher · when its writers strayed: 10.0 accuracy (2 settled)
651–656 of 656
421 / 656
graded
235 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 4 articles — always lower · when its writers strayed: 84.4 accuracy (2 settled)
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.
Carolina Panthers to finish with 5–6 wins
I thought they could win a few games, get maybe to five or six wins.
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
The Chiefs? Check. ... this is not an overreaction to say the AFC playoff field is set.
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
Chargers and Broncos.
Houston Texans to win the division
The only thing that we're sure of with the Texans right now is that when they win the division, they will be the first playoff game on the Saturday