Chris Brockman· Nov 25, 2024
Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. He also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated his earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games.
“Eagles are the best team in the NFL, and Saquon is gonna be the first non QB MVP since 2011.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
12 checkable claims — 8 playoff picks, 1 award pick, 1 game outcome pick, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
11 of 12 have settled so far, averaging 81.8 out of 100, against 63.2 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
wins5–6 wins (5–6 wins)They said
5What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
12 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Season Win TotalsCarolina PanthersNov 25, 2024
Carolina Panthers to finish with 5–6 wins
“I thought they could win a few games, get maybe to five or six wins.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 95+6.95 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CAR
- naive:
- 5.25
- skill:
- 6.95
- what happened:
- 5
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 95
- predicted:
- 5–6 wins (5–6 wins)
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksKansas City ChiefsNov 25, 2024
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksDenver BroncosNov 25, 2024
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DEN
- skill:
- 139
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Award PicksSaquon BarkleyPhiladelphia EaglesNov 25, 2024
Saquon Barkley to win MVP
“Saquon is gonna be the first non QB MVP since 2011”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Josh Allen
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksBaltimore RavensNov 25, 2024
Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs
“Raven's check.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 25, 2024
Buffalo Bills to beat forty niners
“They are going to get blasted by Buffalo next week... And they're gonna be five and seven”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 10-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksHouston TexansNov 25, 2024
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- HOU
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsNov 25, 2024
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksDallas CowboysNov 25, 2024
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
“The Cowboys are making the playoffs, and the Commanders are missing them.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksPittsburgh SteelersNov 25, 2024
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Playoff PicksLos Angeles ChargersNov 25, 2024
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+139 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- skill:
- 139
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Power RankingsNov 25, 2024
“Eagles are the best team in the NFL”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Chris SimmsScore Predictions · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Simms went through the entire Week 3 slate with straight-up winners and predicted final scores, taking Jacksonville, Buffalo, Cincinnati, Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle, the Giants, Baltimore, New Orleans, Minnesota, San Francisco, Denver and Philadelphia. He also expected Zay Flowers and Puka Nacua to sit, Kyler Murray to play, and said Marvin Harrison Jr. projects as no better than a good No. 2 or high-end No. 3 receiver.
- Connor RogersGame Outcome Picks · Kansas City ChiefsHit · 100Rogers picked Detroit, Houston, Carolina, Kansas City, Seattle and the Giants to win their Week 3 games, saying the Chiefs win by two touchdowns and the Giants by a field goal.
- Chris LongGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Long liked the Rams over the Broncos on Sunday night even without Puka Nacua, and expected the Bills to beat the winless Chargers in Buffalo. He also backed the Bengals over the Steelers, expected an angry Detroit team to handle the Jets, and still thought both the Lions and Vikings could win the NFC North.
- Steven RuizGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Previewing Week 3, Ruiz picked the Ravens to beat the Cowboys in Brazil, Jacksonville over New England in a low-scoring game, an upset by the Broncos over the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears, the Lions over the Jets, and his Hail Mary that Houston beats Indianapolis by two touchdowns.
- Nate TiceGame Outcome Picks · Baltimore RavensHit · 100Tice matched his guest on every Week 3 game, picking the Ravens over the Cowboys, the Jaguars over the Patriots in a close game, the Broncos to upset the Rams, the Raiders over the Saints, the Eagles over the Bears and the Lions over the Jets.
- Sam MonsonGame Outcome Picks · Los Angeles ChargersMiss · 0Monson picked the Chargers to beat the Bills outright (jokingly crediting Buffalo's gray 'Nickel City' jerseys), took the Vikings to win outright in Tampa, and said Seattle would destroy Washington. He also reiterated his Super Bowl pick of Denver over the Rams, called the Dolphins destined for the No. 1 overall pick, and said the Saints are a worst-to-first candidate in the NFC South.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ross JacksonPlayoff Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Minnesota VikingsMiss · 0Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter.
- Dwaine BoardPlayoff Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Board argues the 49ers can still make the playoffs even if Trent Williams leaves, expects Williams to be brought back, and favors drafting a wide receiver at No. 27 over an offensive tackle.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Los Angeles RamsHit · 100Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. He also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Green Bay PackersHit · 100Eisen agreed the Bears are a team of destiny who will win the NFC, insisted the Packers will make the playoffs and won't lose at home to the Ravens, said the Steelers should make the playoffs, and endorsed the view that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Eisen agreed the NFC West will send three teams to the playoffs (Seahawks, 49ers and Rams), endorsed the Bears finishing no worse than the No. 2 seed, and said Chicago would beat Green Bay at home.