Chris Brockman#36 of 87 NFL pundits · Nov 25, 2024
Brockman pitched that the Eagles are the NFL's best team and that Saquon Barkley will win MVP as the first non-quarterback since 2011. They also declared the AFC playoff field already set with six weeks to go, said the Cowboys will make the playoffs, predicted Buffalo would blast the 49ers, and reiterated their earlier call that Carolina would win five or six games.
Said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast)Hear the original
What Chris Brockman said
Eagles are the best team in the NFL, and Saquon is gonna be the first non QB MVP since 2011.
- Where it was said
- Overreaction Monday (podcast)
- The episode
- NFL Week 12: Saquon will be the next NFL MVP
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidNov 25, 2024
- GradedAug 13–Oct 7, 2026
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Power Rankings | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Season Win Totals | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| Playoff Picks | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Award Picks | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Game Outcome Picks | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
| All | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
How each call scored
12 checkable claims — 8 playoff picks, 1 award pick, 1 game outcome pick, 1 power ranking and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 12 have settled, averaging 81.3 out of 100, against 66.3 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Power Rankings1 close callShow ▸Hide ▾
“Eagles are the best team in the NFL”
Ranked #3called #175Close75 − 100 naive = −25 × 1.39 difficulty = −34.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- PHI
- naive:
- finishes where it finished last season (9)
- skill:
- −34.75
- season:
- 2024
- window:
- top 1
- accuracy:
- 75
- baseline:
- 100
- settled by:
- final standings: win percentage, then point differential
- actual rank:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- clubs ranked:
- 32
- predicted rank:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- zero at places out:
- 8
Season Win Totals1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Carolina Panthers to finish with 5–6 wins
“I thought they could win a few games, get maybe to five or six wins.”
5called 5–6 wins100Hit100 − 95 naive = 5 × 1.39 difficulty = +6.95 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- CAR
- naive:
- 5.25
- skill:
- 6.95
- what happened:
- 5
- season:
- 2024
- zero credit this far off:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 95
- they said:
- 5–6 wins (5–6 wins)
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Playoff Picks7 hits · 1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.39 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- KC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.39 difficulty = +139 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- DEN
- skill:
- 139
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Made the playoffs100Hit
100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.39 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Houston Texans to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.39 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- HOU
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.39 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
“The Cowboys are making the playoffs, and the Commanders are missing them.”
Missed the playoffs0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.39 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- DAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.39 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- PIT
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
“I think the AFC playoff field is set. With six weeks to go, these are the seven teams.”
Made the playoffs100Hit100 − 0 naive = 100 × 1.39 difficulty = +139 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- skill:
- 139
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Award Picks1 missShow ▸Hide ▾
Saquon Barkley to win MVP
“Saquon is gonna be the first non QB MVP since 2011”
Josh Allen woncalled Saquon Barkley0Miss0 − 0 naive = 0 × 1.39 difficulty = 0 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2024
- who won:
- Josh Allen
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Game Outcome Picks1 hitShow ▸Hide ▾
Buffalo Bills to beat forty niners
“They are going to get blasted by Buffalo next week... And they're gonna be five and seven”
100Hit100 − 100 naive = 0 × 1.39 difficulty = 0 skill
Closing line (Dec 1): Bills by 6.5 · favorite pick, Bills about 3 in 4 (74%).
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 10-35
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman expects Sean Fresch Jr. to clear waivers and return to the Broncos' practice squad, sees Riley Moss back from concussion for the Week 11 game at Las Vegas, and projects newly acquired Daiyan Henley to begin as the third inside linebacker behind Alex Singleton and Justin Strnad before likely moving into a starting role.Zack Kelberman · Roster Spot Calls · Sean Fresch Jr. · Miss 0
Kelberman writes that Riley Moss may sit out the preseason finale against Minnesota but should be available for the Week 1 opener at Kansas City; they also suggest undrafted corners Sean Fresch Jr. and Brent Austin are being evaluated for practice squad spots.Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Nate Gosney · Trade and Signing Calls · Daiyan Henley · Miss 0
After the Broncos rescinded the trade, Gosney expects Daiyan Henley to remain with the Chargers for the rest of the 2026 season, but believes the awkward fallout has effectively killed any chance of them signing a new contract with Los Angeles after the season.Chad Jensen · Roster Spot Calls · Jordan Turner · Miss 0
Jensen predicts Daiyan Henley's arrival will cut into Justin Strnad's snaps while Alex Singleton keeps playing virtually every down, and that Denver will return to a three-linebacker rotation after the Week 10 bye. They also expect one of Jordan Turner or Karene Reid — most likely Turner — to be waived to clear a roster spot.Gilberto Manzano · Trade and Signing Calls · Josh Downs · Hit 100
Previewing the trade deadline, he expects Justin Herbert to stay in Los Angeles despite the Chargers' 0–7 start, thinks the Jets will keep Garrett Wilson and pair him with their young weapons, expects a receiver-hungry Kansas City to be aggressive with Josh Downs the likeliest target, and suggests expiring Eagles contracts Moro Ojomo and Riq Woolen could be dealt for mid-round picks.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Ross Jackson · Playoff Picks · New Orleans Saints · Miss 0
Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.Rich Eisen · Playoff Picks · Minnesota Vikings · Miss 0
Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter.Rich Eisen · Playoff Picks · Los Angeles Rams · Hit 100
Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. They also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.Rich Eisen · Playoff Picks · Green Bay Packers · Hit 100
Eisen agreed the Bears are a team of destiny who will win the NFC, insisted the Packers will make the playoffs and won't lose at home to the Ravens, said the Steelers should make the playoffs, and endorsed the view that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.