Rich Eisen

Rich Eisen hosts The Rich Eisen Show and Overreaction Monday, where he covers the NFL with weekly power rankings, game previews and roster debates. His predictions span game outcomes, playoff races, draft positioning and player awards across the league.

Writes at Overreaction Monday (podcast)

Every take from Rich Eisen, including the ones still waiting →

Is Rich Eisen accurate? Across 463 graded calls in 126 articles, Rich Eisen scores 59.61% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 20.14, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

59.61%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

20.14

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

463

Graded calls

across 126 articles. 327 more not yet settled.

97.15% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Playoff Picks77 graded61.75 accuracy
Game Outcome Picks74 graded65.05 accuracy
Mock Draft Picks58 graded83.71 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where Rich Eisen keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Green Bay Packers-10
Outside the room in 9 of 26 articles (1 higher, 8 lower) · when they strayed: 56.0 accuracy (9 settled)
Indianapolis Colts-15
Outside the room in 5 of 16 articles — always lower · when they strayed: 73.0 accuracy (5 settled)

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 463

13 of 127 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 13.

Eisen picked Josh Allen to lead the NFL in total touchdowns over any QB-WR or QB-RB combo, flipped from the Lions to the Bears as NFC North winner, and made several Week 2 game calls, including the Patriots at home, the Jets over Green Bay, and both LA teams winning. He also picked a Jaguars-Broncos AFC title game.4 graded calls · Sep 18, 2026
- Los Angeles Chargers to beat Raiders
  “I think both LA teams win ... I'll go Raiders, Charger.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  LV
  score:
  26-14
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  LAC
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  0
  the naive pick:
  LAC

Eisen laid out his "come at me" mock draft of the top 10 picks of the 2026 NFL Draft, including a projected Chiefs trade up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese.9 graded calls · Apr 22, 2026

Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 8
“The Saints now will stick and pick at eight and take Jordan Tyson, the wide receiver out of Arizona State.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Jordyn Tyson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Think this grade is wrong?
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“Number four, that leaves the Tennessee Titans... they take Jeremiah Love”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“number one overall is okay. It's Fernando Mendez... So Fernando Mendoza's first overall.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5
“So I'll I'll take Karnell Tate for the Giants here at five.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“I think the New York Jets, second overall, choose David Bailey out of Texas Tech.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
45
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
95
Spencer Fano to be picked at number 6
“I got him out of Utah going to the Browns here. I'm gonna take him at six.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Spencer Fano
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
“And I believe it's the Kansas City Chiefs moving up from nine to take Arbel Reese here.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 10
“And the number 10 overall... I think the Giants stick and pick here and take Caleb Downs”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 92.86 against a shuffle’s 50+42.86 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
42.86
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
92.86
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 7
“I think Sonny Styles goes here to the Washington commanders.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
45
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
95

Eisen agreed four Ohio State players would go top-10, named several other prospects he expects in the top 10, predicted Jeremiah Love would not fall out of the top five, and said Arvel Reese would go no later than seventh. He called the tight-end and Ty Simpson takes overreactions.7 graded calls · Mar 2, 2026

Fernando Mendoza to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Mendoza goes in the top 10.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“And I don't think he's falling out of the top 10.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“Bailey Bailey goes in the top 10.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
David Bailey
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 7
“Arvel Reese looks like RoboCop. He's not falling out of the top five. If he does, the I I think the the commander's at seven. That is the lowest he's gonna go in this draft”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvel Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Jeremiyah Love to be picked “top five” (picks 1–5)
“I don't think Jeremiah loves getting out of the top five. How about that?”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“I think, Yoane, the, the guard the interior guard of of the, Penn State Nittany Lions, I think he goes in the top 10.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Olaivavega Ioane
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Francis Mauigoa to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“I think Mau and Noah, the left tackle of, of Miami goes in the top 10.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Francis Mauigoa
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?