Chris Brockman

Chris Brockman is a voice on The Rich Eisen Show and its Overreaction Monday podcast, where he weighs in on NFL predictions ranging from playoff races to player awards. His forecasts span the league, covering teams like the Patriots, Cowboys, and Eagles, and players from Saquon Barkley to Caleb Williams.

Writes at Overreaction Monday (podcast)

Every take from Chris Brockman, including the ones still waiting →

Is Chris Brockman accurate? Across 288 graded calls in 87 articles, Chris Brockman scores 58.55% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 21.29, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is an established record: thirty or more graded articles.

58.55%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

21.29

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

288

Graded calls

across 87 articles. 200 more not yet settled.

96.31% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

What they call, and how it goes

The record split by kind of claim — five graded calls minimum before a kind shows here. A pundit can be sharp on drafts and ordinary on game picks, and averaging that away is how a number stops meaning anything.

Playoff Picks41 graded68.5 accuracy
Mock Draft Picks36 graded75.02 accuracy
Division Winners32 graded38.67 accuracy

Against the grain

Teams and players where Chris Brockman keeps landing outside the room: at least twice, their call sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is their standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Green Bay Packers+46
Outside the room in 4 of 12 articles (2 higher, 2 lower) · when they strayed: 33.3 accuracy (3 settled)
Pittsburgh Steelers+43
Outside the room in 3 of 9 articles (1 higher, 2 lower) · when they strayed: 45.8 accuracy (2 settled)

Form

Rolling accuracy over their last fifteen graded calls, in the order the claims were made. The dashed line is their career average — the question this answers is whether the number above is who they are or who they were.

Graded calls · 288

15 of 88 graded articles on this page, newest first — page 1 of 8.

Discussing Denver's brutal upcoming stretch, Brockman endorsed the idea that the Broncos go 2-4 over the next six games, with their two wins coming against the Rams and at the Chargers.Sep 15, 2026
- Denver Broncos to beat Rams
  “if the Rams play the way that they played in Australia, they could win that game... Well, those are the two wins.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
  How this was scored
  won:
  DEN
  score:
  26-30
  skill:
  0
  they picked:
  DEN
  season:
  2026
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:
  100
  the naive pick:
  DEN
  difficulty:
  1.94

Brockman offered a series of overreaction-Monday takes: four Ohio State players going top-10, Fernando Mendoza outproducing Tom Brady's 2001 rookie stats, Jeremiah Love outperforming Ashton Jeanty's rookie year, two tight ends going in the top 20, Ty Simpson as QB2 and a week-one starter, Jimmy Garoppolo lifting the Cardinals over .500, and Mike Evans advancing further in the playoffs than Tampa Bay.9 graded calls · Mar 2, 2026

Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Miss · 23Scored 22.93a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Eli Stowers
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
22.93
baseline:
50
actual pick:
54
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
22.93
predicted pick:
top 20 (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvel Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; has not appeared on an NFL roster
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board
“We know who the first quarterback is. Mendoza's gonna be first off the board, Rich.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
skill:
66.92
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
33.08
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“Not one, not two, not three, four. Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“A lot of talk about the second quarterback, probably gonna be Ty Simpson from Alabama.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
skill:
60.3
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
39.7
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I also think he's gonna go in the first round, and he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Saddiq, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 20 (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman argued four Ohio State players will be taken in the top 10, that Fernando Mendoza will be the first QB off the board and top Tom Brady's 2001 statistical line as a rookie, that Jeremiah Love will beat Ashton Jeanty's rookie production, that tight ends Kenyan Sadiq and Eli Stowers both go top 20, that Ty Simpson is the second QB drafted in round one and starts Week 1, that Jimmy Garoppolo gets the Cardinals over .500, and that Mike Evans leaves Tampa for a contender and goes further in the playoffs than the Bucs.9 graded calls · Mar 2, 2026

Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“I also think he's gonna go in the first round, and he's gonna be starting week one for whoever takes him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Arvell Reese to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be 2nd quarterback off the board
“A lot of talk about the second quarterback, probably gonna be Ty Simpson from Alabama.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 39.7+60.3 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 39.7
skill:
60.3
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
39.7
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
2
predicted order:
2
weeks left when called:
0
Eli Stowers to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Sadique, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Miss · 23Scored 22.93a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Eli Stowers
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
22.93
baseline:
50
actual pick:
54
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
22.93
predicted pick:
top 20 (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “top 20” (picks 1–20)
“Tight ends, Rich, Kenyan Sadique, Eli Stowers, they're going in the top 20 both.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 20 (picks 1–20)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Caleb Downs to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Caleb Downs
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Carnell Tate to be picked “top 10 of the first round” (picks 1–10)
“Not one, not two, not three, four Ohio State players are gonna go in the top 10 of the first round.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
top 10 of the first round (picks 1–10)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be 1st quarterback off the board
“We know who the first quarterback is. Mendoza's gonna be first off the board, Rich.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 33.08+66.92 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 10 at random averages 33.08
skill:
66.92
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
33.08
position:
quarterback
class size:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0

Brockman's overreaction slate: Breece Hall leaves the Jets and plays in the playoffs next season, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the best receiver in the league, three quarterbacks (Mendoza first overall, plus Ty Simpson and Carson Beck) go in the first round, and the Patriots crater to a 7-10 season.4 graded calls · Feb 23, 2026

New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
“I've seen some people in New England are already freaking out about a seven and ten season. That's how bad it's gonna be. That's how bad it's gonna be next year”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
naive:
6.25
skill:
0
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Carson Beck to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot. It is those three quarterbacks.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.94a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carson Beck
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
23.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
65
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
23.94
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot. It is those three quarterbacks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“And we know he's going first. We know he's going number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?

Brockman argued Jaxon Smith-Njigba is already the best receiver in the NFL and deserves to be the highest paid, called his shot that three quarterbacks (Mendoza, Ty Simpson, Carson Beck) go in the first round with Mendoza first overall, and suggested New England is headed for a 7-10 season.5 graded calls · Feb 23, 2026

Ty Simpson to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“We're gonna come out of the combine thinking not one, not two. Three quarterbacks are going in the first round... You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck?... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
New England Patriots to finish with 7 wins
“I've seen some people in New England are already freaking out about a seven and ten season. That's how bad it's gonna be... next year with this with new, you know, the schedule.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
naive:
6.25
skill:
0
what happened:
14
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
predicted:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
0
Think this grade is wrong?
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“And we know he's going first. We know he's going number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“JSN is the best wide receiver in the NFL and should be the highest paid at the position.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 25+75 skill
How this was scored
skill:
75
player:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
100
baseline:
25
position:
WR
ranked by:
receiving yards
difficulty:
1
the naive guess:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
10
actual finish:
1
weeks left when called:
0
predicted finish:
1
Carson Beck to be picked “first round” (picks 1–32)
“You said Ty Simpson and Carson Beck? ... I am gonna call my shot... It is those three quarterbacks.”
Miss · 24Scored 23.94a naive guess scored 50
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
player:
Carson Beck
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
23.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
65
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
23.94
predicted pick:
first round (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
only one pick — no order to score
Think this grade is wrong?