Fantasy Bust Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 409
- Graded
- 38
- Average accuracy
- 57.9
- Pundits
- 47
9% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
By season
- 202538 of 40 graded
- 20260 of 369 graded
Who is good at fantasy bust calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Derek Brown81 accuracy · 12 graded+125.0
- Andrew Erickson75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Chris Welsh75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Joe Pisapia50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice45 accuracy · 7 graded-20.0
- Jake Ciely33 accuracy · 4 graded-66.7
- Sean Kerner0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Ryan Wormeli0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)58.7 · 38 graded
Every fantasy bust calls take
351–375 of 409
Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (a quarterback within the top ten)
But if we're picking one of the guys inside the top ten to not reach his expectation, I think it has to be Dart.
- PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season
CeeDee Lamb to fall short of his draft cost (eight overall wide receiver five)
the best case scenario for Ceede Lamb is probably a round wide receiver eight to ten and that's eight to twelve really... But we're drafting him over that
Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026 Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen in ECR fifty overall)
So I'm one hundred percent with you here. I am fading Bucky Irving. He right now RB nineteen in ECR fifty overall
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver nine currently ECR twenty overall)
Yeah, it's Milak Neighbors and it's not I'm not completely out. I just do think he's a reach right now.
- PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver twenty eight and ECR ... sixty one overall)
I don't think he's going to thrive in Buffalo... we're getting the count on DJ Moore. But is the upside really there? I don't know that it is.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026 - PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season
Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (a top ten tight end)
I don't want any part of Dalton Kincaid... But we're still drafting him as a top ten tight end when we have not seen that top ten output
Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026 - PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season
Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (RB thirteen to twenty nine overall)
So there's a lot of variables in here that are happening, and I think I might just want to sit this one out and not have to deal with it and go with more stable options that are being drafted after him.
Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals
Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026 Kenneth Walker III to fall short of his draft cost (running back eleven)
So I just think that he's too expended for where I want to buy him currently. Is his ZCR I believe is running back eleven and I have him at sixteen.
Sam LaPorta to fall short of his draft cost (a top one hundred pick)
I just don't see the value in using and burning a top one hundred pick on someone like Sam laport
- PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season
Jaxson Dart to fall short of his draft cost (QB seven and ECR sixty overall)
I'm probably a little bit more aggressive about my fade on Jackson Dart.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026 - PendingTera RobertsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (RB nineteen in ECR fifty overall)
I think we need to look at him more as somebody who is probably going to offer us low end RB two upside and draft him appropriately
Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 30, 2026 Christian Watson to fall short of his draft cost (ECR fifty seven, overall wide receiver twenty seven)
So I'm just not gonna be rostering Christian Watson anywhere.
Dalton Kincaid to fall short of his draft cost (tight end nine one oh four overall)
but here at tight end nine one oh four overall, it's just too pricey for me
Parker Washington to fall short of his draft cost (wide Receiver forty one)
So I'm not going to be int in Parker Washington for this season... right now as it stands today, I just think Parker Washington is overpriced.
- PendingBob HarrisFantasy Bust Calls2026 season
Parker Washington to fall short of his draft cost (wide Receiver forty one)
is it too credit of a room at wide Receiver forty one... Too crowded of a room for me
Parker WashingtonJacksonville Jaguars
Waiting on the season to settle this.said May 10, 2026 Jalen Coker to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver fifty three)
I'm not as in on cocer as other people are, so I'm gonna be out.
George Kittle to fall short of his draft cost (top five tight end)
I honestly think like George Kittle going off the board as a top five. That's a huge mistake
George Kittle to fall short of his draft cost (top five tight end)
I'm scared to touch George Kittle at where he's probably going to go... I just don't love the idea of taking him right after Achilles surgery
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver seventeen)
Devanta Adams I have basically buried He's outside my top twenty four wide receivers... So even at wide receiver seventeen, I think this is a really risky pick.
Keon Coleman to fall short of his draft cost (back of the... final round picks)
when I was writing up the top two fifty players like Kean Coleman fully out
Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver twenty four)
So in real time ADP, he's around wide receiver twenty four. I just to me, I don't see any meat on the bone where you're drafting him there.
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top sixty five picks)
I am out on Zay Flowers this year. Part of it is the cost... the real time ADP is inside the top sixty five picks... I don't think the cost aligns with the ceiling.
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (wide receiver two)
will you find say Flowers and my players to avoid article Yes, because he was priced as a wide receiver two. I don't want to pay a wide receiver two price tag for him
Marquise Brown to fall short of his draft cost (back of the... final round picks)
Marque's Hollywood Brown Again, all of these guys that are like back of the you know, final round picks for people, count me out on all of them
Tyreek Hill to fall short of his draft cost (the thirty seventh player off the board)
I'll pass... now he's in his thirties. It's just too many things to worry about here.
By sport
NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)
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