Ryan Wormeli#52 of 87 NFL pundits · Aug 30, 2025
Host Ryan Warmley endorsed Ricky Pearsall as a bet worth making and put their rookie-receiver capital in Tetairoa McMillan, while fading Zay Flowers at their cost and opting out of Marvin Harrison Jr.
Said on air or in an interview · FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)Hear the original
What Ryan Wormeli said
our reading, beside the words we read it fromYou should invest in Ricky Piersall. This is a bet worth making this year.
- Where it was said
- FantasyPros Fantasy Football Podcast (podcast)
- The episode
- FantasyPros - High-Upside Fantasy Football Draft Picks | Wide Receiver Breakout Candidates (Ep. 1678)
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence here are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
- SaidAug 30, 2025
- GradedAug 19, 2026
- 1Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top sixty five picks)“I am out on Zay Flowers this year. Part of it is the cost... the real time ADP is inside the top sixty five picks... I don't think the cost aligns with the ceiling.”
- 2Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)“the simple to put a bow on this conversation is you should invest in Ricky Piersall. This is a bet worth making this year.”
Box score
HitCloseMissWaiting| Verdict | Call | Kind | What happened | Score | Naive | Skill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top sixty five picks)1 | Fantasy Bust Calls | — | 0 | 100 | −200 | |
| Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)2 | Sleeper Calls | — | 100 | 0 | +200 | |
| 2 calls · 1 hit · 1 miss · all settled | 50 | 50 | ||||
How each call scored
a naive guessbetter than naiveworse than naive2 checkable claims — 1 fantasy bust call and 1 sleeper call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 50 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
1Fantasy Bust CallsZay FlowersBaltimore Ravens
Zay Flowers to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top sixty five picks)
VerdictMiss0Miss · naive 1000this call−100a naive guess=−100worse than naive×2difficulty=−200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- bust
- cost:
- inside the top sixty five picks
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- −200
- player:
- Zay Flowers
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR24
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR8
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
2Sleeper CallsRicky PearsallSan Francisco 49ers
Ricky Pearsall to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver thirty five)
VerdictHit100Hit · naive 0100this call−0a naive guess=100better than naive×2difficulty=+200skillThink this is wrong?How this was scored
- call:
- sleeper
- cost:
- wide receiver thirty five
- naive:
- he repeats last season
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Ricky Pearsall
- season:
- 2025
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- position:
- WR
- had to beat:
- WR81
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual finish:
- WR78
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- measured against:
- the source named no cost — measured against his own 2024 finish
- All
The take as a whole
the average of 2 settled calls, each counted once
50naive 50
Who this take is about
Others on the same people
AJ Hawk · Game Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 100
Hawk said the Chiefs would beat the Jets, the Seahawks would beat the Cardinals, and the 49ers would beat the Raiders, even while taking the points with the underdogs in each case.Connor Rogers · Game Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 100
Rogers picked straight-up winners in every Week 9 game, agreeing with Simms on all of them, and gave a 24-20 Bills score over the Vikings on Monday night.Chris Simms · Score Predictions · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 93
Simms gave a predicted final score for every Week 9 game, picking the Bengals, Chiefs, Broncos, Lions, Giants, Rams, Cowboys, Saints, 49ers, Patriots, Seahawks, Texans, Bears and Bills, and also said they wouldn't be shocked to see Jacksonville reach the AFC Championship Game.Big Cat · Game Outcome Picks · San Francisco 49ers · Hit 100
Big Cat picked the Bengals to beat the Falcons in Madrid, the 49ers to handle the Raiders, the Seahawks to bounce back against the Cardinals, and the Bears to beat the Buccaneers by a projected 26-23.
More fantasy bust calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Derek Brown · Fantasy Bust Calls · Xavier Worthy · Hit 100
Derek Brown ("Debro") laid out a slate of wide receiver breakouts — Ricky Pearsall, Jalen Coker, Egbuka, Jalen Waddle, Joshua Palmer, George Pickens, DeVonta Smith and Travis Hunter — while fading Xavier Worthy, Tyreek Hill and the cheap Cleveland/late-round types, and gave their own rankings well ahead of ADP for several of them.Chris Welsh · Fantasy Bust Calls · Austin Ekeler · Hit 100
Welsh drafted Christian McCaffrey, Breece Hall, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan, Travis Hunter, the Rams and Saints receivers, Justin Fields (a top-10 QB), Drake Maye (QB10-14), Travis Kelce and Tyler Warren, while passing on Joe Mixon, the Commanders backfield, Tyreek Hill, Rashee Rice and Xavier Worthy.Joe Pisapia · Fantasy Bust Calls · Rashee Rice · Miss 0
Joey P (Joe Pisapia) played draft-or-pass on 2025 fantasy values: they passed on Christian McCaffrey at pick 7, Breece Hall, Rashee Rice, Xavier Worthy, Travis Hunter and Chris Olave, while drafting RJ Harvey, Tyreek Hill, Tetairoa McMillan, Puka Nacua, Tyler Warren and a late-round Joe Mixon.Pat Fitzmaurice · Fantasy Bust Calls · Breece Hall · Miss 0
Pat Fitzmaurice gave draft-or-pass calls: reluctant drafts on Christian McCaffrey, RJ Harvey, Tetairoa McMillan (their WR16), Rashee Rice at a ninth-round price, Austin Ekeler, Chris Rodriguez, Chris Olave, Drake Maye (their QB8) and Tyler Warren, with passes on Breece Hall, Joe Mixon, Croskey-Merritt, Tyreek Hill, Travis Hunter, the Rams receivers and Justin Fields.Simon Hunter · Fantasy Bust Calls · Tetairoa McMillan · Hit 100
Simon is drafting Ashton Jeanty in the late first/early second and is comfortable taking them in the first round, is all-in on DeVonta Adams with the Rams, and calls Puka Nacua one of the most overdrafted players who should not be taken in the first round.