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Writes at Steve Deace Show
Across 7 graded calls in 1 article, Jason Johnson scores 31.5% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -22.87, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
They hedged 12.5% of their claims — a “probably”, a “could”, a “wouldn’t be surprised”.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“we gotta wait until after the honeymoon, which is to say, we take the house, we take the senate”
“we gotta wait until after the honeymoon, which is to say, we take the house, we take the senate”
“I wouldn't be surprised if Republicans in the house end up around two... With around two thirty seats.”
“You agree with that, Jason? Yep. I do.”
“So so Aaron just snatched it right away from me. I... I'm with him on Zeldin”
“but I would go next. And some people might not consider this a huge upset, but I would say the the New Hampshire senate race.”
“Same on the senate side. Right? I'm thinking we're gonna end up at about 53 seats.”