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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
98.57% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
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Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
1–25 of 56
46 / 56
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Democrats win both the house and the senate this year buy, sell, or hold... I think the odds of the house are very low, and I frankly have thought that all year long.
Democrats will come out of this with a fifty one forty nine senate majority
I think the house is probably gone. Doesn't mean you shouldn't work hard for your individual member of congress that you like.
So to me then, we just need a tie in the senate. I think we can get that.
I believe I had a prediction. What was it? Two or three weeks ago that, Democrats will come out of this with a fifty one forty nine senate majority
In in 2016, Trump won with 46% of the popular vote because he won the electoral college. Do you guys believe he... Give me an over under. Does he go over or under that in the popular vote here today in this election? Over. Over. I I I think it's an easy over.
And while I sincerely pray Trump wins, and I do believe that he will, I am now at peace and contented now with this outcome.
I think this is gonna be a convincing win, tomorrow night. ... he looks like he's gonna win the popular vote, and he's gonna win probably most of those key states.
I would not be concerned about West Virginia. There's no chance the state will swing blue.
I still believe at the end of the day, Trump is gonna knock on the door of winning the popular vote, which will be the first Republican who's done that in quite a while, and I believe he's a knock on the door of 300 electoral college votes.
I could give you all the the data and trends why I believe we're gonna win tomorrow. I do think Trump is going to win. I think we're gonna win tomorrow.
where things were at in Iowa the way I thought that, you know, Trump should win between somewhere between five and eight or eight and ten points, the state of Iowa
to me, that that still looks like a three to five six point victory in Georgia to me. ... I don't know how she's gonna win Georgia.
On the senate side, I actually believe now 52 is the low number that Republicans will end up with.
I I think that Pennsylvania will go red.
I think McCormick will also win, and and therefore, that'll get Republicans.
And then my senate map pretty much just reflects that he'll... He'll get... We'll get Montana.
you also gave him Arizona and Nevada. Is that correct? Yes. I did.
a lot of our colleagues think he's gonna win Georgia by five points. I think it's gonna be more like one one and a half... I think he's favored
I got to two nineteen two sixteen Republicans... It would put them at two nineteen, but it could easily go either way.
I got to two nineteen two sixteen Republicans.
I would just say Ohio. Ohio's momentum towards being red appears to have stalled out for me from what I'm seeing. There's some Democrat net in migration there, but I could be wrong. That would be the fifty second seat if I'm wrong.
it benefits him in the Sun Belt. So I'm very bullish in Arizona.
I'm pretty sure Nevada, although I could see him losing Nevada despite the good good early voting
And I think the Republicans end up with 54 US senators.