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Jacob HerlinSep 15, 2026

Herlin ranks all 32 team defenses for Week 2 fantasy purposes, with Tampa Bay's defense on top against Deshaun Watson's Browns and Miami's defense last at San Francisco, providing projected points allowed, sacks, turnovers and fantasy points for each.

Published in writing · FantasyProsRead the original

60Close · out of 100
Fantasy Defense RankingsThe callsettled
50A naive guessthe same call, no knowledge
60.47This callout of 100
+20.3Skillafter difficulty

What Jacob Herlin said

Let’s dive into Week 2 rankings and projections for defenses.
Our reading: 32 fantasy defenses ranked for Week 2
Where it was published
FantasyPros
The piece
Let’s Stream Defenses: Week 2 (2026 Fantasy Football)
The original
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  1. SaidSep 15
  2. GradedOct 9

How the call scored

a naive guessbetter than naive

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 60.5 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

The call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same call; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

  1. Fantasy Defense Rankings

    32 fantasy defenses ranked for Week 2

    VerdictClose
    60.47Close · naive 50
    60.47this call50a naive guess10.47better than naive1.94difficulty+20.3skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    a coin-flip ordering scores 50
    scope:
    week 2
    skill:
    20.3
    method:
    spearman
    placed:
    32
    season:
    2026
    scoring:
    standard D/ST
    accuracy:
    60.47
    baseline:
    50
    difficulty:
    1.94
    weeks in the season:
    18
    could not place:
    0
    defenses ranked:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    17
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