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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.42% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 15 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
876–900 of 2,307
23 / 2,307
graded
2,284 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 12 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 19 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 10 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 17 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Kimani Vidal to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values: Kimani Vidal (RB – LAC)
Malik Nabers to outplay his draft cost (the fourth round)
If he is available in the fourth round of drafts, I’m jumping on him at that cost.
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 45.8 (RB20))
Bucky Irving (RB – TB) | ADP: 45.8 (RB20) ... The Buccaneers signed Kenneth Gainwell to a significant contract in free agency and called the veteran a co-starter during training camp, signaling their lack of trust in Irving as a featured running back.
Courtland Sutton to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 76.6 (WR33))
the trade crushed Courtland Sutton’s fantasy value ... Sutton has seen a decline in targets and receiving touchdowns in back-to-back years, a trend I expect to continue.
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 11.8 (WR6))
fantasy players should avoid drafting Jefferson as a top-six wide receiver and a top-12 pick
Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 70.2 (TE5))
Fannin should get drafted closer to the TE10 than his TE5 ADP.
Jake Ferguson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 112.4 (TE12))
Jake Ferguson shouldn’t get drafted in standard-size leagues, as CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens limit his upside.
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 5.8 (RB3))
Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) | ADP: 5.8 (RB3) ... the superstar turned 30 this offseason and is a ticking time bomb because of his age and injury history.
Jameson Williams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 57.2 (WR26))
Fantasy players should avoid drafting the former Alabama star at his sixth-round ADP (WR26) and target a pass-catcher with less volatility instead.
De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 10.8 (RB6))
I won’t draft him as a mid-range RB1 and would like to avoid picking Achane altogether with Malik Willis under center.
Jaylen Waddle to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
You can easily draft him as a WR2 for your teams this season, who has WR1 upside.
Brock Bowers to outplay his draft cost (anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts)
I think it’s worth paying up at tight end this year, and I’m willing to take Brock Bowers anywhere in the back half of the second round in 12-team drafts.
Chase Brown to be 1st on the depth chart
Even with a projected snap split with Perine (70-30%) based on preseason Week 1 usage… So far this offseason, there has been no additional backfield competition besides Perine.
Malik Willis to finish top 12 at his position, by fantasy points
Willis’s running prowess should have him flirting with QB1 production this year alone.
Blake Corum to be 2nd on the depth chart
At worst, Blake Corum will be the backup to Kyren Williams all season in what should be an outstanding Rams offense.
Blake Corum to outplay his draft cost (RB34 (96th overall))
You’d have hit big on a mid-round pick. This is a bet worth making.
Brock Purdy to outplay his draft cost (the later rounds)
This alone gives Brock Purdy a safe floor as a top-10 signal-caller in the later rounds.
Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers
Kyler Murray to be 1st on the depth chart
but he is still a significant upgrade over J.J. McCarthy ... The one glaring concern is that McCarthy might eventually take over if the Vikings can't find a way to win games.
Kyler Murray to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
He has a legitimate path to a QB10 finish or better.
Malik Willis to outplay his draft cost (the last round of your draft)
At his current average draft position (ADP), Malik Willis is practically free. Of all the quarterbacks I have mentioned, he carries the most upside at cost.
Trevor Lawrence to outplay his draft cost (late-round)
Lawrence has an elite offensive head coach, a solid offensive line, a high-quality pass-catching room and one of the easier schedules for quarterbacks. He is one of the safer late-round quarterbacks and carries plenty of upside.
Trevor LawrenceJacksonville Jaguars
Brock Purdy to finish top 10 at his position, by fantasy points
He is a top-10 quarterback who has rarely played with a healthy team.
Brock PurdySan Francisco 49ers
Javonte Williams to outplay his draft cost (an RB15 price tag)
Still, for an RB15 price tag, you could potentially be getting an RB1 caliber player, so keep an eye out for him in your drafts.
Javonte WilliamsDallas Cowboys
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (He's currently going as the RB23 in PPR leagues.)
Now, with 200-plus carries in his future, Montgomery should maintain his position as a higher-end RB2. He's currently going as the RB23 in PPR leagues.
David MontgomeryHouston Texans
Jordyn Tyson to be 2nd on the depth chart
Tyson profiles as a quality second option for New Orleans once healthy
Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints