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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
95.2% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where First Things First (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 11 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
351–375 of 574
277 / 574
graded
297 still pending
Cashius Howell to be picked at number 31
With the thirty first pick, the... New England Patriots select, Cassius Howell, Edge, Texas A and M.
K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30
With the thirtieth overall pick... the Miami Dolphins select Casey Concepcion, wide receiver Texas a and f.
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5
With the fifth overall pick... The New York Giants select Sunny Styles, linebacker, Ohio State.
David Bailey to be picked at number 8
With the eighth pick of Nick Wright's mock draft four point o, the New Orleans Saints select David Bailey, edge, Texas Tech.
Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 25
with the twenty fifth pick in Nick Wright's mock draft four point o, the Chicago Bears select Akeem Mesidore, edge rusher out of The U
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
And then Reuben Bain Junior goes to the New Orleans Saints at number eight
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at one.
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 17
Lions on the clock. And this pit, Vanga Yawanda just seems like a... Dan Campbell pick.
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9
I think the Chiefs just go to arguably best player in the draft, Caleb Downs... At at number nine.
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 31
Most people don't have the Patriots taking a safety, but most people also have McNeil Warren going higher than this.
Colton Hood to be picked at number 29
Chiefs rebuild their secondary in one draft at the corner out of Tennessee... I had them just overhauling their secondary with Caleb Downs and Colton Hood with the two picks.
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32
So I have Arizona jump with a thirty fourth pick... and take the Seahawks pick at 32... And Tye Simpson goes to the Cardinals
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7
Carnell Tate goes to the Commanders.
Omar Cooper to be picked at number 13
Omar Cooper with Sean McVay just feels... fun
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14
Ravens replace freakish tight end Isaiah Likeley with freakish tight end Kenyon Sadiq.
Ty Simpson to be picked “Very end of the first round” (picks 1–32)
So I think Ty Simpson, I think someone trades... Very end of the first round, I think he gets his name called tonight.
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 25
I'm going Denzel Boston, to to the Jets
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 23
Eagles are gonna be a prime team to trade up, but they'll settle for Monroe Freeling.
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 19
The Panthers going with McKay Lemmon
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18
Everyone has Dylan Thieneman, back to the Vikings.
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16
So I have the Bears taking the second round pick that they got in the DJ Moore trade and jumping the Lions, jumping the Vikings and moving up for K Pop... So Caden Proctor to the Bears
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6
Francis Manenoah for the Browns, I know they need a left tackle.
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
The fourth pick is not what I would do, but Jeremiah Love, people say is the best player in the draft... I do think if he is there, they will do it.
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
And I have Dallas taking the big swing... Arvel Reese with the comps to Micah Parsons, they give up twelve and twenty to move up.
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
I think the Jets with Aaron Glenn go with the more surefire pass rusher, David Bailey, over Arvell Reese at two