Danny Parkins#75 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 23, 2026
Danny Parkins presented their one-and-only 2026 mock draft, including trades: Mendoza at 1 to the Raiders, David Bailey second to the Jets, the Cowboys trading up to No. 3 for Arvell Reese, the Bears trading up to 16 for Kadyn Proctor, and Ty Simpson going to Arizona at 32 at the end of round one.
Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original
What Danny Parkins said
I got number one right. Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at one.
- Where it was said
- First Things First (podcast)
- The episode
- Nick’s Official Mock Draft, Mendoza goes 1st-overall, Who will the Chiefs pick at 9th?
- The original
- Hear the original
- Read it wrong?
- Tell us and we will look
- SaidApr 23
- GradedOct 1
Box score, by kind
HitCloseMissWaiting| Group | Hits | Close | Misses | Waiting | Calls |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mock Draft Picks | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | |
| Team Draft Slot Calls | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| All | 15 | 6 | 1 | 3 |
How each call scored
25 checkable claims — 23 mock draft picks and 2 team draft slot calls — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.
It names 41 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
22 of 25 have settled so far, averaging 80.4 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
Mock Draft Picks15 hits · 6 close calls · 1 miss · 1 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Caleb Downs to be picked at number 9
“I think the Chiefs just go to arguably best player in the draft, Caleb Downs... At at number nine.”
Went 11mocked at 991.7Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 23
“Eagles are gonna be a prime team to trade up, but they'll settle for Monroe Freeling.”
Went 19mocked at 2384.09Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 23
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 7
“Carnell Tate goes to the Commanders.”
Went 4mocked at 787.81Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 31
“Most people don't have the Patriots taking a safety, but most people also have McNeil Warren going higher than this.”
Went 58mocked at 3131.05Missmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 31.05
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 58
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 31.05
- predicted pick:
- 31
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 16
“So I have the Bears taking the second round pick that they got in the DJ Moore trade and jumping the Lions, jumping the Vikings and moving up for K Pop... So Caden Proctor to the Bears”
Went 12mocked at 1684.09Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Kadyn Proctor
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 12
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 16
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
David Bailey to be picked at number 2
“I think the Jets with Aaron Glenn go with the more surefire pass rusher, David Bailey, over Arvell Reese at two”
Went 2mocked at 2100Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Peter Woods to be picked at number 26
“I think Peter Woods and Caden McDonald would be like the top guys for the Bills. I had them going with the DT out of Clemson.”
Went 29mocked at 2687.81Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Peter Woods
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 29
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 26
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 6
“Francis Manenoah for the Browns, I know they need a left tackle.”
Went 10mocked at 684.09Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Francis Mauigoa
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Denzel Boston to be picked at number 25
“I'm going Denzel Boston, to to the Jets”
Went 39mocked at 2554.53Closemock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Denzel Boston
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 54.53
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 39
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 54.53
- predicted pick:
- 25
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 17
“Lions on the clock. And this pit, Vanga Yawanda just seems like a... Dan Campbell pick.”
Went 14mocked at 1787.81Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Olaivavega Ioane
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 17
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Omar Cooper to be picked at number 13
“Omar Cooper with Sean McVay just feels... fun”
Went 30mocked at 1347.88Closemock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Omar Cooper
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 47.88
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 30
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 47.88
- predicted pick:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 32
“So I have Arizona jump with a thirty fourth pick... and take the Seahawks pick at 32... And Tye Simpson goes to the Cardinals”
Went 13mocked at 3243.91Closemock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 8
“And then Reuben Bain Junior goes to the New Orleans Saints at number eight”
Went 15mocked at 873.84Closemock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Ty Simpson to be picked “Very end of the first round” (picks 1–32)
“So I think Ty Simpson, I think someone trades... Very end of the first round, I think he gets his name called tonight.”
Went 13100Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Ty Simpson
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 13
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- Very end of the first round (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at one.”
Went 1mocked at 1100Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
- Went 7mocked at 591.7Hit
mock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3
“And I have Dallas taking the big swing... Arvel Reese with the comps to Micah Parsons, they give up twelve and twenty to move up.”
Went 5mocked at 391.7Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“The fourth pick is not what I would do, but Jeremiah Love, people say is the best player in the draft... I do think if he is there, they will do it.”
Went 3mocked at 495.76Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 18
“Everyone has Dylan Thieneman, back to the Vikings.”
Went 25mocked at 1873.84Closemock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Dillon Thieneman
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 25
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Makai Lemon to be picked at number 19
“The Panthers going with McKay Lemmon”
Went 20mocked at 1995.76Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Makai Lemon
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 20
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 19
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 14
“Ravens replace freakish tight end Isaiah Likeley with freakish tight end Kenyon Sadiq.”
Went 16mocked at 1491.7Hitmock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Kenyon Sadiq
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 16
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
Colton Hood to be picked at number 29
“Chiefs rebuild their secondary in one draft at the corner out of Tennessee... I had them just overhauling their secondary with Caleb Downs and Colton Hood with the two picks.”
Went 37mocked at 2970.71Closemock order 91.75 − 50 for a shuffle = 41.75 × 1 difficulty = +41.75 skill
Think this is wrong?How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 41.75
- player:
- Colton Hood
- season:
- 2026
- zero credit this far off:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 70.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 37
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 70.71
- predicted pick:
- 29
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 91.75
B.J. to be picked at number 20
“Cardinals with the trade down, they get Falk on an edge with upside”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Team Draft Slot Calls2 waitingShow ▸Hide ▾
Dallas Cowboys to pick at number 3
“You've got the Cowboys sending three, and a fourth round pick, and the Cardinals get twelfth and twentieth overall pick.”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Chicago Bears to pick at number 16
“you're sending the Jets the twenty fifth pick overall and the sixtieth pick, that's your, DJ Moore pick”
—WaitingNot settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Who this take is about
Caleb Downs, Kansas City Chiefs, Monroe Freeling, Philadelphia Eagles, Carnell Tate, Washington Commanders, Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, New England Patriots, Kadyn Proctor, Chicago Bears, David Bailey, New York Jets, Peter Woods, Buffalo Bills, Francis Mauigoa, Cleveland Browns, Denzel Boston, Olaivavega Ioane, Detroit Lions, Omar Cooper, Los Angeles Rams, Ty Simpson, Arizona Cardinals, Rueben Bain, New Orleans Saints, Fernando Mendoza, Las Vegas Raiders, Sonny Styles, New York Giants, Arvell Reese, Dallas Cowboys, Jeremiyah Love, Tennessee Titans, Dillon Thieneman, Minnesota Vikings, Makai Lemon, Carolina Panthers, Kenyon Sadiq, Baltimore Ravens, Colton Hood, B.J.
Others on the same people
Chris Clark · Trade and Signing Calls · Nikko Remigio · Miss 0
Clark expects the Chiefs to bring back exclusive-rights receiver Nico (Remigio) and long snapper James Winchester, to re-sign JuJu Smith-Schuster as a cheap veteran fifth receiver, and not to bring back Hollywood Brown, Josh Dobbs-type depth, Gardner Minshew, Janarius Robinson or Mike Caliendo; they also say the Chiefs will not use a franchise tag and believes Bryan Cook won't return.Sam Monson · Game Outcome Picks · New York Giants · Miss 0
Monson picked every Week 10 game, taking the Giants, Lions, Packers, Panthers, Colts, Texans, Bills, Chiefs, Jaguars, Seahawks, Rams, Cowboys, Bengals and Ravens, and also suggested the Chargers' only likely wins the rest of the way come against the Jets and Dolphins.Jordan Dajani · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 95
Dajani picks the Commanders to edge the Giants 21-20 on Thursday and the Chiefs to beat the Falcons 26-20 in Week 10.Tyler Sullivan · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 100
Sullivan takes the Commanders 24-21 over the Giants on Thursday night and calls for a Steelers upset of the Bengals, 27-24, in Week 10.Pete Prisco · Score Predictions · New York Giants · Miss 36
Prisco picks the Giants to beat the Commanders 23-14 on Thursday night and the Lions to beat the Patriots 30-24 in Munich.John Breech · Score Predictions · Washington Commanders · Hit 90
Breech picks the Commanders to upset the Giants on Thursday night, 24-17, and takes the Texans to beat the Browns 24-16 in Week 10 behind a pass rush that should batter Deshaun Watson.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
Chris Simms · Mock Draft Picks · Malachi Corley · Miss 11
Simms named the Bears the NFL's best overall offense and best rushing offense, the Bengals the best passing offense, Seattle the best total defense, Minnesota the best pass defense and Tampa Bay the best run defense; they also called Tristan Wirfs the league's best offensive lineman, projected Miami's Malachi Toney as a top-15 pick, and predicted a 30-14 Jaguars win in Baltimore.Philip Hughes · Mock Draft Picks · Kyle Kennard · Miss 34
Evaluating edge rusher Kyle Kennard ahead of the draft, the account projected them as a Day 2 selection.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Campbell's draft stock report projects Indiana WR Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in 2027, Mississippi State CB Kelley Jones as a first-rounder, Tennessee DT Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick, and Texas OT Trevor Goosby as a top-10 pick, while suggesting Arch Manning could still be a first-rounder if they declare.Charlie Campbell · Mock Draft Picks · Xavier Williams · Miss 0
Reviewing Week 7 college games, Campbell projects a slate of draft outcomes: Tennessee's Xavier Gilliam as a top-15 pick in 2026, Alabama's Bray Hubbard as a Day 2 pick and Yhonzae Pierre as a potential first-rounder, Jeremiah Smith as one of the very first players drafted, Charlie Becker as a top-10 pick in the 2027 draft, Colin Simmons and Trevor Goosby as top-10 picks, and Jadan Baugh as a first-round pick.