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Nick Wright#49 of 87 NFL pundits · Apr 23, 2026

Nick Wright unveiled their full 32-pick 2026 NFL mock draft 4.0, starting with Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1 and ending with Avion Terrell to the Seahawks at 32. They also called Carnell Tate the best/safest receiver in the class, projected Ty Simpson inside the top 45, said Mendoza profiles as a low-end top-15 NFL quarterback, and expected the Dolphins to lose 15 games.

Said on air, transcribed by us · First Things First (podcast)Hear the original

15 of 34calls landed15 hits · 15 close calls · 4 misses · 2 waiting
72.5Average accuracyout of 100, across 34 calls
48.8A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
34 of 36Settled2 still waiting
#49Nick Wright’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Nick Wright said

With the first pick in Nick Wright's NFL mock draft four point o, the Las Vegas Raiders select Fernando Mendoza, quarterback, Indiana University.
Nick Wright, the lead quote
The episode
Nick’s Official Mock Draft, Mendoza goes 1st-overall, Who will the Chiefs pick at 9th?
The original
Hear the original
  1. SaidApr 23
  2. GradedAug 14–Oct 1

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Mock Draft Picks141540
Position Order Calls1000
Season Win Totals0001
Positional Finishes0001
All151542

How each call scored

36 checkable claims — 33 mock draft picks, 1 position order call, 1 positional finish and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 59 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

34 of 36 have settled so far, averaging 72.5 out of 100, against 48.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 1.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
28They said
21What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Mock Draft Picks14 hits · 15 close calls · 4 missesShow ▸
  1. Max Iheanachor to be picked at number 28

    “With the twenty eighth overall pick... the Houston Texans select Max Ihana Chor, offensive tackle, Arizona State.”

    Max IheanachorHouston Texans

    Went 21mocked at 28
    73.84Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Max Iheanachor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    21
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    28
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  2. Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 32

    “With the 30 pick in Nick Wright's NFL mock draft four point o... the great Seattle Seahawks select Avion Terrell, cornerback Clemson.”

    Avieon TerrellSeattle Seahawks

    Went 48mocked at 32
    50Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Avieon Terrell
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    48
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    50
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  3. Emmanuel McNeil-Warren to be picked at number 18

    “With the eighteenth overall pick... the Minnesota Vikings select Emmanuel McNeil Warren. Safety, Toledo.”

    Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenMinnesota Vikings

    Went 58mocked at 18
    17.68Miss

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Emmanuel McNeil-Warren
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    17.68
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    58
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    17.68
    predicted pick:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  4. Spencer Fano to be picked at number 17

    “With the seventeenth overall pick... the Detroit Lions select Spencer Fano, tackle, Utah.”

    Spencer FanoDetroit Lions

    Went 9mocked at 17
    70.71Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Spencer Fano
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  5. Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 11

    “With the eleventh overall pick... the Miami Dolphins select, Mansour Delaine, cornerback LSU.”

    Mansoor DelaneMiami Dolphins

    Went 6mocked at 11
    80.52Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Mansoor Delane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  6. Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12

    “With the twelfth overall pick... the Dallas cowboys select Dylan Thieneman. Safety, Oregon.”

    Dillon ThienemanDallas Cowboys

    Went 25mocked at 12
    56.94Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Dillon Thieneman
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  7. Keldric Faulk to be picked at number 19

    “With the nineteenth overall pick... the Carolina Panthers select Keldrick Fauch, Edge, Auburn.”

    Keldric FaulkCarolina Panthers

    Went 31mocked at 19
    59.46Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Keldric Faulk
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    59.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    59.46
    predicted pick:
    19
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  8. Blake Miller to be picked at number 24

    “With the twenty fourth pick... the Cleveland Browns select Blake Miller tackle, Clemson.”

    Blake MillerCleveland Browns

    Went 17mocked at 24
    73.84Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Blake Miller
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    17
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  9. Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 21

    “With the twenty first overall pick... the Pittsburgh Steelers select Monroe Freeling, offensive tackle, Georgia.”

    Monroe FreelingPittsburgh Steelers

    Went 19mocked at 21
    91.7Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Monroe Freeling
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    19
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  10. Rueben Bain to be picked at number 9

    “With the ninth pick... the Kansas City Chiefs select Reuben Bain Junior, defensive end University of Miami. ... It's the guy who I believe the Chiefs will be taking tonight”

    Rueben BainKansas City Chiefs

    Went 15mocked at 9
    77.11Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  11. Akheem Mesidor to be picked at number 25

    “with the twenty fifth pick in Nick Wright's mock draft four point o, the Chicago Bears select Akeem Mesidore, edge rusher out of The U”

    Akheem MesidorChicago Bears

    Went 22mocked at 25
    87.81Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Akheem Mesidor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    25
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  12. Jordyn Tyson to be picked at number 10

    “With the tenth overall pick... the New York Giants select Jordan Tyson, wide receiver, Arizona state.”

    Jordyn TysonNew York Giants

    Went 8mocked at 10
    91.7Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Jordyn Tyson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  13. Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5

    “With the fifth overall pick... The New York Giants select Sunny Styles, linebacker, Ohio State.”

    Sonny StylesNew York Giants

    Went 7mocked at 5
    91.7Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Sonny Styles
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  14. Kadyn Proctor to be picked at number 23

    “With the twenty third overall pick... the Philadelphia Eagles select Caden Proctor, offensive tackle, Alabama.”

    Kadyn ProctorPhiladelphia Eagles

    Went 12mocked at 23
    62.09Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Kadyn Proctor
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  15. Cade McDonald to be picked at number 26

    “With the twenty sixth pick... the Buffalo Bills select Caden McDonald, defensive tackle, Ohio State.”

    Cade McDonaldBuffalo Bills

    Went undraftedmocked at 26
    0Miss

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Cade McDonald
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    undrafted
    outcome:
    went undrafted in 2026; later signed with CLE
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    undrafted
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  16. Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1

    “With the first pick in Nick Wright's NFL mock draft four point o, the Las Vegas Raiders select Fernando Mendoza, quarterback, Indiana University.”

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    Went 1mocked at 1
    100Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Fernando Mendoza
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  17. Jermod McCoy to be picked at number 16

    “With the sixteenth overall pick... the New York Jets select Jermott McCoy, cornerback, Tennessee.”

    Jermod McCoyNew York Jets

    Went 101mocked at 16
    2.52Miss

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Jermod McCoy
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    2.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    101
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    2.52
    predicted pick:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  18. Kenyon Sadiq to be picked at number 15

    “With the fifteenth pick... the Tampa Bay bucketeers select Kenyan Saddiq, tight end, Oregon.”

    Kenyon SadiqTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Went 16mocked at 15
    95.76Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Kenyon Sadiq
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  19. Cashius Howell to be picked at number 31

    “With the thirty first pick, the... New England Patriots select, Cassius Howell, Edge, Texas A and M.”

    Cashius HowellNew England Patriots

    Went 41mocked at 31
    64.84Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Cashius Howell
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    41
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  20. David Bailey to be picked at number 8

    “With the eighth pick of Nick Wright's mock draft four point o, the New Orleans Saints select David Bailey, edge, Texas Tech.”

    David BaileyNew Orleans Saints

    Went 2mocked at 8
    77.11Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  21. Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3

    “With the third pick... the Arizona Cardinals select Francis Maui Noa, offensive tackle, University of Miami.”

    Francis MauigoaArizona Cardinals

    Went 10mocked at 3
    73.84Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Francis Mauigoa
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  22. Carnell Tate to be picked at number 6

    “With the sixth overall pick... the Cleveland Browns select Carnell Tate wide receiver Ohio State.”

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    Went 4mocked at 6
    91.7Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  23. Ty Simpson to be picked “top 45” (picks 1–45)

    “I don't think Ty Simpson is, in theory, worth a first round pick, but I do think he is going to go in the top 45.”

    Ty Simpson

    Went 13
    100Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Ty Simpson
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    top 45 (picks 1–45)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  24. C.J. Allen to be picked at number 20

    “with the twentieth pick in Nick Wright's NFL mock draft four point o, the Dallas Cowboys of Jerry Jones select CJ Allen, linebacker, Georgia”

    C.J. AllenDallas Cowboys

    Went 53mocked at 20
    23.94Miss

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    C.J. Allen
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    23.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    53
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    23.94
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  25. Omar Cooper to be picked at number 22

    “with the twenty second pick in the Nick Wright mock draft four point o, the Los Angeles Chargers... they select Omar Cooper, wide receiver, Indiana”

    Omar CooperLos Angeles Chargers

    Went 30mocked at 22
    70.71Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Omar Cooper
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    70.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    30
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    70.71
    predicted pick:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  26. Makai Lemon to be picked at number 13

    “With the thirteenth pick... the Los Angeles Rams... select Mekhi Lemmon, wide receiver, USC.”

    Makai LemonLos Angeles Rams

    Went 20mocked at 13
    73.84Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Makai Lemon
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  27. Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2

    “With the second pick... the New York Jets select. Arvell Reese, linebacker, Ohio State.”

    Arvell ReeseNew York Jets

    Went 5mocked at 2
    87.81Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  28. K.C. Concepcion to be picked at number 30

    “With the thirtieth overall pick... the Miami Dolphins select Casey Concepcion, wide receiver Texas a and f.”

    K.C. ConcepcionMiami Dolphins

    Went 24mocked at 30
    77.11Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    K.C. Concepcion
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    24
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  29. Denzel Boston to be picked at number 29

    “With the twenty ninth overall pick... his Kansas City Chiefs select Denzel Boston, wide receiver Washington.”

    Denzel BostonKansas City Chiefs

    Went 39mocked at 29
    64.84Close

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Denzel Boston
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    64.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    39
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    64.84
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  30. Olaivavega Ioane to be picked at number 14

    “with the fourteenth pick in Nick Wright's mott drive four point oh the Baltimore Ravens select Vanga Yoani guard Penn State”

    Olaivavega IoaneBaltimore Ravens

    Went 14mocked at 14
    100Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Olaivavega Ioane
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  31. Caleb Downs to be picked at number 7

    “With the seventh overall pick... the Washington commanders select Caleb Downs, safety, Ohio State.”

    Caleb DownsWashington Commanders

    Went 11mocked at 7
    84.09Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Caleb Downs
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  32. Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4

    “With the fourth overall pick... The Tennessee titans select Jeremiah Love, running back, Nook Trudane.”

    Jeremiyah LoveTennessee Titans

    Went 3mocked at 4
    95.76Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Jeremiyah Love
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
  33. Caleb Lomu to be picked at number 27

    “With the twenty seventh overall pick... The San Francisco forty niners select Caleb Lomu, offensive tackle, Utah.”

    Caleb LomuSan Francisco 49ers

    Went 28mocked at 27
    95.76Hit

    mock order 87.52 − 50 for a shuffle = 37.52 × 1 difficulty = +37.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    37.52
    player:
    Caleb Lomu
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    28
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    87.52
    Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls1 hitShow ▸
  1. Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board

    “we're gonna have seven straight years of Ohio State receivers going number one... he is clearly to me the best receiver in this class”

    Carnell TateCleveland Browns

    100Hit

    100 − 9.48 naive = 90.52 × 1 difficulty = +90.52 skill

    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
    skill:
    90.52
    player:
    Carnell Tate
    season:
    2026
    zero credit this far off:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    9.48
    position:
    wide receiver
    class size:
    36
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Miami Dolphins to finish with 2 wins

    “We expect them to lose. But how many? 15.”

    Miami Dolphins

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Positional Finishes1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Fernando Mendoza to finish top 14 at his position, by passing yards

    “I think to me he profiles as about Kirk Cousins level as far as quarterback hierarchy in the league. You just, you know, so somewhere in that 12 to 14 range”

    Fernando MendozaLas Vegas Raiders

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More mock draft picks

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