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Sharp Football Analysis

limited

8 writers with a graded record here.

Their own site →

64.51%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

44.96

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

157

Graded calls

across 18 articles. 221 more not yet settled.

A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.

96.25% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.

Takes logged: 378
Graded: 157
Scored 80+: 64
Scored under 40: 46

How their calls land

Every graded call published under this banner, by score.

Takes in each band

32

5

5

4

13

11

9

14

What they publish

Where this publisher spends its predictions, and how accurate each kind has been.

Depth Chart Calls78 takes · 87.0 accuracy
Positional Finishes72 takes · 64.6 accuracy
Mock Draft Picks67 takes · 65.7 accuracy
Player Season Numbers53 takes · 49.0 accuracy

Who writes here · 8

Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.

Raymond Summerlinprovisional100.0 · 1 article
Warren Sharpprovisional100.0 · 1 article

Against the grain

Teams and players where Sharp Football Analysis’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.

Kyren Williams-100
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Dalton Kincaid-100
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet

Who they write about

Josh AllenQB10 takes
C.J. StroudQB6 takes

Every take from Sharp Football Analysis

226–250 of 378

Miss · 30Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Mark Andrews to record 1,036.1 receiving yards
Mark Andrews BAL TE ... 123.1 84.9 1,036.1 8.5
Mark AndrewsBaltimore Ravens
a naive guess scored 16.98+25.86 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 57Rich HribarFantasy Rankings2024 season
Christian McCaffrey SF RB 306.2 ... Breece Hall NYJ RB 267.0 ... David Montgomery DET RB 171.1
a naive guess scored 50+14.59 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Hit · 84Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Justin Jefferson to record 1,665.2 receiving yards
Justin Jefferson MIN WR ... 184.0 114.1 1,665.2 8.6
Justin JeffersonMinnesota Vikings
a naive guess scored 0+168.24 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 47Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Breece Hall to record 1,188.5 rushing yards
Breece Hall NYJ RB ... 258.4 1,188.5 9.0
Breece HallNew York Jets
a naive guess scored 58.06-21.3 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 45Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
CeeDee Lamb to record 1,643.1 receiving yards
CeeDee Lamb ... 1,643.1 10.7
CeeDee LambDallas Cowboys
a naive guess scored 78.72-66.77 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Miss · 0Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Christian McCaffrey to record 10.6 rushing tds
Christian McCaffrey ... 1,276.7 10.6
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
a naive guess scored 0+0 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Hit · 85Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Amon-Ra St. Brown to record 124.2 receptions
Amon-Ra St. Brown DET WR ... 169.0 124.2 1,415.7 8.7
Amon-Ra St. BrownDetroit Lions
a naive guess scored 30.09+110.18 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 67Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Josh Allen to record 4,472.1 passing yards
Josh Allen BUF QB ... 4,472.1
Josh AllenBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 60.71+12.29 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 74Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Lamar Jackson to record 3,630.2 passing yards
Lamar Jackson ... 3,630.2
Lamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens
a naive guess scored 28.67+90.71 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 60Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
CeeDee Lamb to record 126.4 receptions
CeeDee Lamb DAL WR ... 181.9 126.4 1,643.1 10.7
CeeDee LambDallas Cowboys
a naive guess scored 63.97-8.32 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 71Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Jonathan Taylor to record 1,223.2 rushing yards
Jonathan Taylor IND RB ... 271.8 1,223.2 9.5
Jonathan TaylorIndianapolis Colts
a naive guess scored 0+141.91 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Miss · 21Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Derrick Henry to record 1,163.1 rushing yards
Derrick Henry BAL RB ... 264.3 1,163.1 11.6
Derrick HenryBaltimore Ravens
a naive guess scored 0+42.19 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 53Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Travis Kelce to record 1,079 receiving yards
Travis Kelce KC TE ... 133.8 96.3 1,079.0 8.2
Travis KelceKansas City Chiefs
a naive guess scored 49.12+6.86 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Miss · 32Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Ja'Marr Chase to record 11.2 receiving tds
Ja'Marr Chase ... 1,404.1 11.2
Ja'Marr ChaseCincinnati Bengals
a naive guess scored 0+63.53 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 60Rich HribarFantasy Rankings2024 season
Josh Allen BUF QB 374.2 ... Jalen Hurts PHI QB 370.5 ... Patrick Mahomes KC QB 334.0 ... Aaron Rodgers NYJ QB 287.5
a naive guess scored 50+20 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Hit · 86Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Lamar Jackson to record 851.9 rushing yards
Lamar Jackson BAL QB ... 139.7 851.9 4.2
Lamar JacksonBaltimore Ravens
a naive guess scored 7.46+157.49 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Miss · 35Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Tyreek Hill to record 119.8 receptions
Tyreek Hill ... 119.8 1,701.0
Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins
a naive guess scored 84.7-98.95 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 60Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Jalen Hurts to record 11.2 rushing tds
Jalen Hurts ... 673.3 11.2
Jalen HurtsPhiladelphia Eagles
a naive guess scored 28.37+63.25 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 45Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Derrick Henry to record 11.6 rushing tds
Derrick Henry ... 1,163.1 11.6
Derrick HenryBaltimore Ravens
a naive guess scored 4.61+80.78 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Miss · 3Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Saquon Barkley to record 6.7 rushing tds
Saquon Barkley ... 1,174.1 6.7
Saquon BarkleyPhiladelphia Eagles
a naive guess scored 0+6.15 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Hit · 98Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Josh Allen to record 537.6 rushing yards
Josh Allen ... 107.5 537.6 10.2
Josh AllenBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 29.24+136.6 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 70Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Josh Allen to record 10.2 rushing tds
Josh Allen ... 537.6 10.2
Josh AllenBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 49.77+40.46 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Miss · 13Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Tyreek Hill to record 1,701 receiving yards
Tyreek Hill MIA WR ... 173.6 119.8 1,701.0 9.6
Tyreek HillMiami Dolphins
a naive guess scored 75.65-125.78 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Hit · 99Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Josh Allen to record 28.2 passing tds
Josh Allen BUF QB ... 28.2
Josh AllenBuffalo Bills
a naive guess scored 52.3+92.56 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →
Close · 63Rich HribarPlayer Season Numbers2024 season
Patrick Mahomes to record 31.9 passing tds
Patrick Mahomes ... 31.9
Patrick MahomesKansas City Chiefs
a naive guess scored 56.32+13.37 skillsaid Sep 1, 2024the article →