Derrick Henry

RB · Alabama

45 checkable claims from 30 pundits. These are other people’s predictions about what he will do — we grade the prediction, never the player.

Median call across 7 pundits: 1,500 rushing yards
Median call across 4 pundits: 10 rushing tds

Pace vs the field

Every season number pundits put on Derrick Henry this year, next to what his season so far comes to over seventeen games. A pace is an extrapolation, not a result; the calls grade against the real total when the season ends.

Derrick Henry is on pace for 1,301 rushing yards — 689 through 9 games — against the field's median call of 1,500 from 4 pundits (on pace with the field).

rushing yards4 pundits · on pace with the fieldon pace for 1,301: 1301

02100

Who’s high on him, who’s low

Each pundit’s standing lean on Derrick Henry, measured against every other pundit who made a comparable call — same kind of claim, same season. +100 would mean the most bullish voice in every room; −100 the most bearish. At least two articles per pundit before a lean is shown, and the accuracy is how that pundit’s settled calls about him have graded out. A lean is a fact about the pundit, never a judgment of the player.

Highest on him

Shannon Sharpe+92
more bullish than 96% of the room, across 2 articles · on him not settled yet
Rich Eisen+61
more bullish than 81% of the room, across 3 articles · on him not settled yet

Page 1 of 2 — unsettled claims first, then the settled ones, newest first.

What pundits expect · 34 on this page

Not settled yet. These are graded once the season or event they describe has finished, except any marked too vague to check, which are not graded.

Derrick Henry to stay putRich Eisen · for 2026 · said Nov 9, 2026
Derrick Henry to stay putIan Rapoport · for 2026 · said Nov 6, 2026
Derrick Henry to finish RB2 (13–24) at his position, by fantasy pointsFrank Ammirante · for 2026 · said Nov 4, 2026
Derrick Henry to move — “should be traded for a midround pick”Jason La Canfora · for 2026 · said Nov 3, 2026
Derrick Henry to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy pointsFantasyPros · for 2026 · said Oct 28, 2026
Derrick Henry — Offensive Player of the Year: No. 2 on ballotEric Williams · for 2026 · said Sep 24, 2026
Derrick Henry to finish top 1 at his position, by an unstated measure

Pace vs the field

Derrick Henry is on pace for 1,301 rushing yards — 689 through 9 games — against the field's median call of 1,500 from 4 pundits (on pace with the field).

rushing yards4 pundits · on pace with the fieldon pace for 1,301: 1301

02100

Who’s high on him, who’s low

Highest on him

Shannon Sharpe+92
more bullish than 96% of the room, across 2 articles · on him not settled yet
Rich Eisen+61
more bullish than 81% of the room, across 3 articles · on him not settled yet

What pundits expect · 34 on this page

Not settled yet. These are graded once the season or event they describe has finished, except any marked too vague to check, which are not graded.

Derrick Henry to stay putRich Eisen · for 2026 · said Nov 9, 2026

Derrick Henry to stay putIan Rapoport · for 2026 · said Nov 6, 2026

Derrick Henry to finish RB2 (13–24) at his position, by fantasy pointsFrank Ammirante · for 2026 · said Nov 4, 2026

Derrick Henry to move — “should be traded for a midround pick”Jason La Canfora · for 2026 · said Nov 3, 2026

Derrick Henry to finish top 6 at his position, by fantasy pointsFantasyPros · for 2026 · said Oct 28, 2026

Derrick Henry — Offensive Player of the Year: No. 2 on ballotEric Williams · for 2026 · said Sep 24, 2026

Derrick Henry to finish top 1 at his position, by an unstated measure

Settled · 6 on this page

Derrick Henry to be 1st on the depth chartNick Shook · for 2025 · said Jun 23, 2025

“He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”

Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill

How this was scored

club:: BAL
skill:: 0
player:: Derrick Henry
season:: 2025
accuracy:: 100
baseline:: 100
position:: RB
naive slot:: 1
actual slot:: 1
difficulty:: 2
measured by:: rushing yards
the naive guess:: where he sat last season
weeks in the season:: 18
predicted slot:: 1
weeks left when called:: 18

Derrick Henry to record 1,000 rushing yardsNick Shook · for 2025 · said Jun 23, 2025

“He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”

Miss · 25Scored 25.39a naive guess scored 44.19-37.59 skill

How this was scored

naive:: 1149.89
skill:: −37.59
what happened:: 1595
player:: Derrick Henry
season:: 2025
accuracy:: 25.39
baseline:: 44.19
they said:: 1000
statistic:: rushing_yards
difficulty:: 2
last season:: 1921
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks left when called:: 18
position average:: 378.78
zero at percent out:: 50

Derrick Henry to record 12 rushing tdsRyan Wormeli · for 2025 · said May 31, 2025

“if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns”

Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 28.96+42.07 skill

How this was scored

naive:: 10.32
skill:: 42.07
what happened:: 16
player:: Derrick Henry
season:: 2025
accuracy:: 50
baseline:: 28.96
they said:: 12
statistic:: rushing_tds
difficulty:: 2
last season:: 16
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks left when called:: 18
position average:: 4.63
zero at percent out:: 50

Derrick Henry to record 1,500 rushing yardsRyan Wormeli · for 2025 · said May 31, 2025

“he was amazing last year and if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns, He's getting fifteen hundred rushing yards in a healthy season”

Hit · 88Scored 88.09a naive guess scored 44.19+87.8 skill

How this was scored

naive:: 1149.89
skill:: 87.8
what happened:: 1595
player:: Derrick Henry
season:: 2025
accuracy:: 88.09
baseline:: 44.19
they said:: 1500
statistic:: rushing_yards
difficulty:: 2
last season:: 1921
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks left when called:: 18
position average:: 378.78
zero at percent out:: 50

Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the YearRonde Barber · for 2022 · said Sep 6, 2022

“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, ...)”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill

How this was scored

award:: comeback_player_of_the_year
naive:: the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
skill:: 0
player:: Derrick Henry
season:: 2022
who won:: Geno Smith
correct:: no
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 0
difficulty:: 2
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks left when called:: 18

Derrick Henry to win Comeback Player of the YearRich Gannon · for 2022 · said Sep 6, 2022

“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, Cassel, Gannon, ...)”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill

How this was scored

award:: comeback_player_of_the_year
naive:: the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
skill:: 0
player:: Derrick Henry
season:: 2022
who won:: Geno Smith
correct:: no
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 0
difficulty:: 2
weeks in the season:: 18
weeks left when called:: 18

Pace vs the field

Who’s high on him, who’s low

Highest on him

What pundits expect · 34 on this page

Pace vs the field

Who’s high on him, who’s low

Highest on him

What pundits expect · 34 on this page

Lowest on him

Settled · 6 on this page