“I think he's gonna have a better game rushing the ball, about the same amount of carries, over a 100 yards”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 44.19-46.84 skill
How this was scored
- naive:
- 1149.89
- skill:
- -46.84
- what happened:
- 1595
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 44.19
- predicted:
- 100
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 1.06
- last season:
- 1921
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 1
- position average:
- 378.78
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
- club:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“He's going to go over one thousand yards, and it's going to be a bell cow back for this team.”
Miss · 25Scored 25.39a naive guess scored 44.19-37.59 skill
How this was scored
- naive:
- 1149.89
- skill:
- -37.59
- what happened:
- 1595
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 25.39
- baseline:
- 44.19
- predicted:
- 1000
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 1921
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 378.78
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 28.96+42.07 skill
How this was scored
- naive:
- 10.32
- skill:
- 42.07
- what happened:
- 16
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 28.96
- predicted:
- 12
- statistic:
- rushing_tds
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 16
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 4.63
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“he was amazing last year and if he's healthy this year, he's scoring another twelve touchdowns, He's getting fifteen hundred rushing yards in a healthy season”
Hit · 88Scored 88.09a naive guess scored 44.19+87.8 skill
How this was scored
- naive:
- 1149.89
- skill:
- 87.8
- what happened:
- 1595
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 88.09
- baseline:
- 44.19
- predicted:
- 1500
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 1921
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 378.78
- zero at percent out:
- 50
“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, ...)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2022
- winner:
- Geno Smith
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, Cassel, Gannon, ...)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2022
- winner:
- Geno Smith
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, Cassel, Gannon, Phillips, Thomas)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2022
- winner:
- Geno Smith
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, Cassel, Gannon, Phillips, Thomas)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2022
- winner:
- Geno Smith
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“2. Titans RB Derrick Henry (5 votes: Barber, Cassel, ...)”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Burrow, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2022
- winner:
- Geno Smith
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
“Derrick Henry BAL RB ... 264.3 1,163.1 11.6”
Miss · 21Scored 21.09a naive guess scored 0+42.19 skill
How this was scored
- naive:
- 778.82
- skill:
- 42.19
- what happened:
- 1921
- player:
- Derrick Henry
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 21.09
- baseline:
- 0
- predicted:
- 1163.1
- statistic:
- rushing_yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- last season:
- 1167
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- position average:
- 390.64
- zero at percent out:
- 50