Fantasy Bust Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 409
- Graded
- 38
- Average accuracy
- 57.9
- Pundits
- 47
9% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
By season
- 202538 of 40 graded
- 20260 of 369 graded
Who is good at fantasy bust calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Derek Brown81 accuracy · 12 graded+125.0
- Andrew Erickson75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Chris Welsh75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Joe Pisapia50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice45 accuracy · 7 graded-20.0
- Jake Ciely33 accuracy · 4 graded-66.7
- Sean Kerner0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Ryan Wormeli0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)58.7 · 38 graded
Every fantasy bust calls take
76–100 of 409
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 45.8 | RB20)
Bucky Irving (TB) – ADP 45.8 | RB20 ... The Buccaneers signed Kenneth Gainwell to a significant contract in free agency, calling the veteran a co-starter during training camp, showing their lack of trust in Irving as a featured running back.
De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 10.8 | RB6)
De'Von Achane (MIA) – ADP 10.8 | RB6 ... I won't draft him as a mid-range RB1 and would like to avoid picking Achane altogether with Malik Willis under center.
Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (a top-25 draft pick)
McBride is clearly one of the elite tight ends and is worthy of a top-25 draft pick. Just don't expect a full repeat of last year.
Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)
And Brian Thomas Jr., we walked the schedule earlier. Hell no. I am not attracting him anywhere.
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a top 24 running back)
Quinn Sean Judkins as a top 24 running back on a horrible Cleveland Browns offense. Uh, no, thank you.
Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a second-round price tag)
I'm not going to pay a second-round price tag for Josh Allen at quarterback.
Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)
And for all the reasons by Kyler Murray, I'm out on Justin Jefferson in the first round.
Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (the 10th round)
It's just Jacobs for me. He's undraftable. It doesn't even matter if it's the 10th round in my opinion.
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (the fourth, fifth round)
A guy I'm down on, it's got to be Skadabo... But taking him to the fourth, fifth round, that feels a little too rich for Skadaboo.
Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
I'm out on Lemon at cost... he is going to force Makai Lemon into a very Luther Burden-esque rookie season where he has trouble getting on the field
Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)
There's a crap ton of guys that I'm avoiding in this round. I could shout out Alec Pierce.
Jacory Croskey-Merritt to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)
I'm avoiding Merritt. I just think the Washington backfield, to me, White makes more sense... I think Merritt's a bad pick here.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)
fade rice. I'm locked up with Derek here.
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
I mean, I could easily shout out Mark Andrews. I think that he's cooked at this point in his career.
Mike Evans to fall short of his draft cost (round six)
The guy I'm avoiding like a plague, Mike Evans... So Mike Evans, I just, there's other guys that are rather taking this range than him.
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (a top 20 wide receiver price tag)
And I cannot pay this price tag for Tedderow and McMillan where he is going... So Ted Romig Millen, a top 20 wide receiver price tag. No, thank you
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)
Walker's arrival and his upside in the passing game, I think is going to ding Rasheed Rice a little bit... And the guy that I'm avoiding like the plague is where she rice.
Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
People have been drafting the Eagles receiver Lemon in this round, Chad... So I am out on lemon. I'd much rather have Wicks at cost.
Josh Downs to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)
I am not drafting Josh Downs. I don't think they can win on the outside. I think Keenan Allen is going to capsize his target volume
Michael Pittman to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)
for me, I'm passing on Pittman. He's the second receiver now in the Pittsburgh.
Nick Nash to fall short of his draft cost (the second round)
Guy I'm avoiding, I can't take pickings in the second round... Pickens ain't returning a second round value to you.
Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)
Josh Jacobs, the aforementioned I'll go with Jacobs here. I just want people to know that he is firmly off my draft board.
Carnell Tate to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)
A guy I'm avoiding just because of what this price is, Tate. Who is taking Tate for Tennessee?... There's no world I see an upside of Tate being worth his draft value here.
Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)
I could shout out Chuba Hubbard. No, thank you.
Trayvon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (round six)
I'm avoiding Travion Henderson. I don't understand his price tag going above Ramondre Stevenson.
By sport
NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)
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