Fantasy Bust Calls

Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)

Josh Jacobs, the aforementioned I'll go with Jacobs here. I just want people to know that he is firmly off my draft board.

Josh JacobsGreen Bay Packers

Carnell Tate to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)

A guy I'm avoiding just because of what this price is, Tate. Who is taking Tate for Tennessee?... There's no world I see an upside of Tate being worth his draft value here.

Carnell TateTennessee Titans

Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (near their respective ADPs)

I'm doubling down on my stance to avoid Rice and Worthy near their respective ADPs.

Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs

Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (near their respective ADPs)

I'm doubling down on my stance to avoid Rice and Worthy near their respective ADPs.

Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Jordyn Tyson to fall short of his draft cost (around pick 135)

His fantasy football ADP has tumbled all the way down into the 12th round, around pick 135. Hopefully he can come back healthy, but risk-averse managers are looking elsewhere.

Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (1.12)

Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter here. Neither should be drafted quite this highly.

Trey McBride

Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (1.12)

Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter here. Neither should be drafted quite this highly.

Brock Bowers

De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (1.12)

Players to Avoid at 1.12 Fantasy Football Draft Pick ... De'Von Achane (RB – MIA) ... without Tua Tagovailoa, his numbers in the receiving game could dip significantly

De'Von AchaneMiami Dolphins

Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a late-third-round ADP)

Under no circumstances will I draft a quarterback in the first four rounds of a 1QB league... Allen has a late-third-round ADP. He's being drafted just ahead of Ladd McConkey.

Josh Allen

Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (the first four rounds)

There are three tight ends guaranteed to land in the first four rounds: Brock Bowers, Trey McBride, and Colston Loveland. I'm willing to draft Bowers and Loveland at cost, but not McBride.

Trey McBride

Jerry Jeudy to fall short of his draft cost (the late rounds)

But there is no reason to draft Jeudy in 2026. The Browns just spent early-round draft picks on WRs KC Concepcion and Denzel Boston.

Jerry JeudyCleveland Browns

Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a midrange or low-end RB2)

Judkins is being drafted as a midrange or low-end RB2... the constraints of the Cleveland offense will almost certainly limit his touchdowns and hinder his efficiency. Quinshon Judkins looks like a volume trap.

Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns

Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP of WR12 (30th overall))

Now, Rice has an ADP of WR12 (30th overall). I'm fleeing at that price.

Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Zach Charbonnet to fall short of his draft cost (ADP 42)

This unknown/moving timeline has me shying away from Charbonnet for 2026.

Zach CharbonnetSeattle Seahawks

Xavier Worthy to fall short of his draft cost (grades as a big Yahoo value)

Xavier Worthy, who also grades as a big Yahoo value but whom our notes flatly fade... the analyst has "zero interest" in 2026.

Xavier Worthy

Courtland Sutton to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 76.6 (WR33))

the trade crushed Courtland Sutton’s fantasy value ... Sutton has seen a decline in targets and receiving touchdowns in back-to-back years, a trend I expect to continue.

Courtland SuttonDenver Broncos

Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 45.8 (RB20))

Bucky Irving (RB – TB) | ADP: 45.8 (RB20) ... The Buccaneers signed Kenneth Gainwell to a significant contract in free agency and called the veteran a co-starter during training camp, signaling their lack of trust in Irving as a featured running back.

Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 10.8 (RB6))

I won’t draft him as a mid-range RB1 and would like to avoid picking Achane altogether with Malik Willis under center.

De'Von AchaneMiami Dolphins

Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 70.2 (TE5))

Fannin should get drafted closer to the TE10 than his TE5 ADP.

Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns

Jameson Williams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 57.2 (WR26))

Fantasy players should avoid drafting the former Alabama star at his sixth-round ADP (WR26) and target a pass-catcher with less volatility instead.

Jameson WilliamsDetroit Lions

Jake Ferguson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 112.4 (TE12))

Jake Ferguson shouldn’t get drafted in standard-size leagues, as CeeDee Lamb and George Pickens limit his upside.

Jake FergusonDallas Cowboys

Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 11.8 (WR6))

fantasy players should avoid drafting Jefferson as a top-six wide receiver and a top-12 pick

Justin JeffersonMinnesota Vikings

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 5.8 (RB3))

Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) | ADP: 5.8 (RB3) ... the superstar turned 30 this offseason and is a ticking time bomb because of his age and injury history.

Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

Trey McBride to fall short of his draft cost (1.11)

Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.

Trey McBrideArizona Cardinals

Brock Bowers to fall short of his draft cost (1.11)

Whether you prefer Brock Bowers or Trey McBride doesn't really matter. Neither should be drafted this high.

Brock BowersLas Vegas Raiders