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Derek Brown#12 of 87 NFL pundits · Sep 1, 2026

The Fantasy Pros analyst laid out their biggest fantasy offseason moves and then a round-by-round list of players they're high and low on, headlined by breakout calls on Parker Washington, Jordan Mason, DJ Moore, Jaylen Waddle, A.J. Brown and Marshawn Lloyd, plus fades on Justin Jefferson, Rashee Rice and Josh Jacobs.

Said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)Hear the original

Waiting33 calls, none settled yet
—Average accuracynothing settled yet
—A naive guessthe same calls, no knowledge
0 of 33Settled33 still waiting
#12Derek Brown’s rankof 87 ranked NFL pundits

What Derek Brown said

A.J. Brown is going to end up with the best statistical season that he's ever had in his career.
Derek Brown, the lead quote
The episode
Sharp or Square - NFL FANTASY FOOTBALL PREVIEW: Player Rankings & Offseason Updates
The original
Hear the original

Box score, by kind

HitCloseMissWaiting
GroupHitsCloseMissesWaitingCalls
Positional Finishes0002
Award Picks0001
Depth Chart Calls0007
Fantasy Bust Calls00014
Sleeper Calls0008
Season Win Totals0001
All00033

How each call scored

33 checkable claims — 14 fantasy bust calls, 8 sleeper calls, 7 depth chart calls, 2 positional finishes, 1 award pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 39 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

None of them have settled yet — they grade once their results are in.

Of the 10 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands above the room on 1 and below it on 9.

Each call is scored 0 to 100 against what happened, on its own, by the published methodology. The naive guess is what knowing nothing would have scored on the same calls; the gap, weighted by how hard the call was, is the skill.

Where this call stands in the room

Houston Texans · 2026 season · wins

5 calls from 4 pundits between 4 wins and 11 wins. Derek Brown said 10 wins. the room's median is 11 wins. not settled yet

Derek Brown — 10 winsthe room — 5 calls from 4 punditsmedian 11 wins

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against the room

positional finish
3They said
2The room (4 pundits)

Their call against everyone else's, while this is still unsettled.

Positional Finishes2 waitingShow ▸
  1. James Cook to finish top 3 at his position, by fantasy points

    “James Cook, I'm all in. I think we see he sets a career high in receptions, the top three running back season.”

    James CookBuffalo Bills

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. A.J. Brown to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points

    “I literally have AJ Brown as wide receiver five, right above CD land. The only wide receivers I have above him right now is Puka Nakua, Jamar Chase, Amon Ross, Sam Brown, and Jason.”

    A.J. BrownNew England Patriots

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Award Picks1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Bo Nix to win MVP

    “I think that Bo Nix is going to We're going to see the best year of his career. Bet the long shot odds for him at MVP”

    Bo NixDenver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Depth Chart Calls7 waitingShow ▸
  1. Jonathon Brooks to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I think he's going to take the job away from Chuba Hubbard.”

    Jonathon Brooks

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. DJ Moore to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I think him going there and them having a true wide receiver one this year is going to be fantastic for this offense.”

    DJ MooreBuffalo Bills

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Quentin Johnston to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I think he's the real wide receiver one from Los Angeles chargers.”

    Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Christian Watson to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I believe in the upside being Green Bay's true wide receiver one this year”

    Christian WatsonGreen Bay Packers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart

    “I think they're going to roll him right into the Joe Mixon role. Just absolutely ride him this year... I don't have any questions about who's getting the red zone work in Houston. I think it's 10 toes down, David Montgomery.”

    David MontgomeryHouston Texans

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. Jaylen Waddle to be 1st on the depth chart

    “Bo Nix out now has a true wide receiver one to throw to Cortland Sutton goes down the pecking order.”

    Jaylen WaddleDenver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. Dontayvion Wicks to be 2nd on the depth chart

    “Dontavion Wicks is the clear wide receiver two for Philly.”

    Dontayvion WicksPhiladelphia Eagles

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Fantasy Bust Calls14 waitingShow ▸
  1. Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)

    “I mean, I could easily shout out Mark Andrews. I think that he's cooked at this point in his career.”

    Mark Andrews

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Makai Lemon to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)

    “I'm out on Lemon at cost... he is going to force Makai Lemon into a very Luther Burden-esque rookie season where he has trouble getting on the field”

    Makai LemonPhiladelphia Eagles

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)

    “There's a crap ton of guys that I'm avoiding in this round. I could shout out Alec Pierce.”

    Alec Pierce

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (a top 20 wide receiver price tag)

    “And I cannot pay this price tag for Tedderow and McMillan where he is going... So Ted Romig Millen, a top 20 wide receiver price tag. No, thank you”

    Tetairoa McMillan

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)

    “I could shout out Chuba Hubbard. No, thank you.”

    Chuba Hubbard

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (round seven)

    “And Brian Thomas Jr., we walked the schedule earlier. Hell no. I am not attracting him anywhere.”

    Brian Thomas Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. Josh Downs to fall short of his draft cost (round nine)

    “I am not drafting Josh Downs. I don't think they can win on the outside. I think Keenan Allen is going to capsize his target volume”

    Josh Downs

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  8. Josh Jacobs to fall short of his draft cost (round eight)

    “Josh Jacobs, the aforementioned I'll go with Jacobs here. I just want people to know that he is firmly off my draft board.”

    Josh JacobsGreen Bay Packers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  9. Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (a second-round price tag)

    “I'm not going to pay a second-round price tag for Josh Allen at quarterback.”

    Josh Allen

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  10. Trayvon Henderson to fall short of his draft cost (round six)

    “I'm avoiding Travion Henderson. I don't understand his price tag going above Ramondre Stevenson.”

    Trayvon Henderson

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  11. Aaron Jones to fall short of his draft cost (round 10)

    “But Aaron Jones is the low-hanging fruit. I just don't think he can hold up with the hamstrings and the volume anymore.”

    Aaron Jones

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  12. Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (a top 24 running back)

    “Quinn Sean Judkins as a top 24 running back on a horrible Cleveland Browns offense. Uh, no, thank you.”

    Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  13. Justin Jefferson to fall short of his draft cost (the first round)

    “And for all the reasons by Kyler Murray, I'm out on Justin Jefferson in the first round.”

    Justin JeffersonMinnesota Vikings

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  14. Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (third round)

    “Walker's arrival and his upside in the passing game, I think is going to ding Rasheed Rice a little bit... And the guy that I'm avoiding like the plague is where she rice.”

    Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Sleeper Calls8 waitingShow ▸
  1. Jonathon Brooks to outplay his draft cost (round seven)

    “Jonathan Brooks, baby. I think he's going to take the job away from Chuba Hubbard.”

    Jonathon Brooks

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  2. Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost (round eight)

    “Gwen Johnson is my call out here. I think he's the real wide receiver one from Los Angeles chargers.”

    Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  3. DJ Moore to outplay his draft cost (round five)

    “I think DJ Moore is going to crush him Buffalo... the guy that I will garner again... DJ Moore, the Stefan new Stefan digs for the Buffalo bills.”

    DJ MooreBuffalo Bills

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  4. Chase Brown to outplay his draft cost (round two)

    “Chase Brown, I'm all in on... So I'm all in on Chase Brown”

    Chase Brown

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  5. Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (round four)

    “Jim and Waddle, baby. Talked about the Broncos passing attack all in.”

    Jaylen WaddleDenver Broncos

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  6. Kenny Gainwell to outplay his draft cost (round 10)

    “My guys in round 10, Kenny Gainwell... If he could just be better Rashad White, I think he's going to crush this year.”

    Kenny Gainwell

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  7. De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (round nine)

    “I think DeJuan Stribling is young enough that he can fight the substation... one wide receiver I am not drafting and one that I like.”

    De'Zhaun Stribling

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

  8. Chris Olave to outplay his draft cost (wide receiver 12 price tag)

    “All in on Chris Alave, wide receiver 12 price tag... So we are undervaluing Chris Alave and his upside.”

    Chris Olave

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Season Win Totals1 waitingShow ▸
  1. Houston Texans to finish with 10 wins

    “And they just ride David Montgomery in the defense to 10 plus wins.”

    Houston Texans

    —Waiting

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

Others on the same people

More fantasy bust calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.