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Fantasy Bust Calls

Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.

Takes logged
409
Graded
38

9% settled

Average accuracy
57.9

out of 100

Pundits
47

have made one

How these calls land

Every graded call of this kind, bucketed by score.

Takes in each band

020406080
0 — dead wrongscore out of 100100 — nailed it
22 scored 80+16 scored under 40

Settled or waiting

38 / 409

graded

371 still pending

By season

  • 202538 of 40 graded
  • 20260 of 369 graded

Who is good at fantasy bust calls

MissedTakes score for this kind of prediction only — accuracy measured against what a naive guess would have scored. Zero means no better than guessing.

provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.

By publisher

The same record pooled across everyone writing under one banner.

Every fantasy bust calls take

201–225 of 409

  • PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (an ADP of 19)

    A wide receiver I'm avoiding relative to his ADP is Drake London... At this price, the risk outweighs the reward, making him an easy fade for me.

    Drake LondonAtlanta Falcons

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (RB19 and 49 overall)

    Cam Skattebo is coming off of a major injury and is still being drafted as RB19 and 49 overall.

    Cam SkatteboNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingWolf Trelles-HeardFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Ladd McConkey to fall short of his draft cost (the WR19 on average)

    His 11.3 fantasy points per game were good for only WR34, and yet he's being drafted as the WR19 on average... Instead of clicking on McConkey in the middle of Round 4, I'd rather take Jaylen Waddle, David Montgomery, Tyler Warren, or D'Andre Swift.

    Ladd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (46 overall)

    I'm out on Bucky Irving at 46 overall, and Kenneth Gainwell is a much bigger part of that than I think the market is accounting for.

    Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (WR13)

    I'm avoiding Malik Nabers at his current draft cost... Nabers is going off the board as WR13

    Malik NabersNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingWolf Trelles-HeardFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (Round 3)

    I was shocked to look and find Cam Skattebo coming off the board in Round 3 on average... I'll continue passing on the reckless Skattebo

    Cam SkatteboNew York Giants

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingJustin WeigalFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Ashton Jeanty to fall short of his draft cost (RB6 price tag)

    If it was based on talent, Ashton Jeanty would warrant his RB6 price tag, but there are better values at the RB position in better situations.

    Ashton JeantyLas Vegas Raiders

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (RB3 price)

    Christian McCaffrey is the running back I'm most likely to avoid at his current RB3 price... I believe the downside outweighs the upside at his current ADP

    Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingBrandon CarneyFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (at ADP)

    I'm not taking Alec Pierce under almost any circumstances at at ADP. Not in a redraft league, certainly.

    Alec PierceIndianapolis Colts

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrandon CarneyFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (tight end eight)

    Pretty out on Fannin. Given where he's going... Sleepers got him down at tight end eight

    Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingBrandon CarneyFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (at six)

    I'm not taking Christian McCaffrey at six. No. I'm not taking him at five.

    Christian McCaffrey

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (RB32)

    I'll be avoiding Hubbard in drafts this year, especially with him also dealing with a hamstring injury in camp now.

    Chuba HubbardCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (WR37)

    With the addition of Keenan Allen and Pierce's continued health struggles, I'm avoiding him in drafts this year.

    Alec PierceIndianapolis Colts

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingDerek BrownFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Jordyn Tyson to fall short of his draft cost (WR40)

    This automatically makes him a player that I'm avoiding unless he slips past his ADP.

    Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026the article →
  • PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Justin Herbert to fall short of his draft cost (QB8)

    they want a discount Herbert’s QB8 cost does not offer

    Justin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Caleb Williams to fall short of his draft cost (QB7)

    At a QB7 price, you are paying for the ceiling of the 2025 finish. The projections think you will get something closer to a mid-pack QB1.

    Caleb WilliamsChicago Bears

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 19, 2026
  • PendingRichard JanvrinFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Courtland Sutton to fall short of his draft cost (WR33)

    Further down the ADP list, Courtland Sutton is going as the WR33. Still, even in that spot, I don’t feel great about him.

    Courtland SuttonDenver Broncos

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 18, 2026
  • PendingRichard JanvrinFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR17)

    Now, he’s being drafted as the WR17. While his ADP is lower than his finish last season, a few things lead me to believe he’s perhaps closer to WR20.

    Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 18, 2026
  • PendingRyan KirkseyFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Tyler Allgeier to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 140 (RB44))

    Tyler Allgeier (RB – ARI) | ADP: 140 (RB44) ... Fantrax drafters are effectively assuming that increased workload and a goal-line role are confirmed. They aren’t yet.

    Tyler AllgeierArizona Cardinals

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 18, 2026
  • PendingRyan KirkseyFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Oronde Gadsden II to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 148 (TE16))

    Oronde Gadsden II (TE – LAC) | ADP: 148 (TE16) ... the better approach is to wait and see rather than get tantalized by the potential.

    Oronde Gadsden IILos Angeles Chargers

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 18, 2026
  • PendingRyan KirkseyFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 66 (WR31))

    Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAX) | ADP: 66 (WR31) ... that projection looks much more attractive at the consensus price than when Fantrax makes him an earlier selection.

    Brian Thomas Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 18, 2026
  • PendingRyan KirkseyFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Kyler Murray to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 118 (QB18))

    Kyler Murray (QB – MIN) | ADP: 118 (QB18) ... taking him around 140th overall is far more appealing than spending a pick around 118 overall.

    Kyler MurrayMinnesota Vikings

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 18, 2026
  • PendingWolf Trelles-HeardFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (Real-Time ADP of TE14)

    And yet, here we are in August, and Andrews has a Real-Time ADP of TE14. ... I'm just not seeing any advantage to clicking on Andrews.

    Mark AndrewsBaltimore Ravens

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 17, 2026
  • PendingWolf Trelles-HeardFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Brenton Strange to fall short of his draft cost (TE19)

    At TE19, Strange doesn't cost a ton and can be picked near the end of your draft. Still, even if he does reach another level in his fourth NFL season, there are too many mouths to feed for him to fully flourish in fantasy.

    Brenton StrangeJacksonville Jaguars

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 17, 2026
  • PendingWolf Trelles-HeardFantasy Bust Calls2026 season

    Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (TE7)

    Of all the tight ends going inside the top 10 this year, I like Harold Fannin Jr. the least. ... Add it all up, and I'm not ecstatic about taking Fannin at his current TE7 price tag. That feels like his ceiling this season

    Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns

    Waiting on the season to settle this.said Aug 17, 2026

By sport

NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)

The NFL is the only sport we cover today. This page exists so that adding a second one does not mean rewriting every link.