Loading…
Loading…
Writes at The Megyn Kelly Show
Across 7 graded calls in 2 articles, Comfortably Smug scores 6.67% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -65.8, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
They hedged 20% of their claims — a “probably”, a “could”, a “wouldn’t be surprised”.
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.
“And he has closed so strong... I thought he found that hole. He cut and now he's got open field. I mean, that guy's gonna get it.”
“I think the enthusiasm and electricity around her, it feels very different. Like, she is one of the top candidates in the country. I think she's gonna get there.”
“On the senate, will the Republicans take it? And if so, how many seats will they wind up with? ... I'm going with 52.”
“I think they take, Nevada, and they take, Arizona. They take Georgia. That takes us 53.”
“Well, Smug, what do you think? 52. I'm going with 52.”
“I think they take, Nevada, and they take, Arizona. They take Georgia. That takes us 53.”
“So on your 52, that would mean you think the Republicans are gonna keep Pennsylvania, I assume, and they're gonna gain where? I think they take, Nevada, and they take, Arizona. They take Georgia.”