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Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.
100% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
1–25 of 47
42 / 47
graded
5 still pending
He's now 16 points underwater in the key house districts. Simply put mathematically, this equals a Democratic majority for the House of Representatives.
I'd say Democrats would pick up at least 25 house seats net and at least six senate seats net today based on talking to campaigns. Could be bigger.
But right now, I'd say Democrats would pick up at least 25 house seats net and at least six senate seats net today based on talking to campaigns. Could be bigger.
and I think Republicans keep a narrow margin in the house
Virginia 3 is the African American district that I was talking about. The Republicans are not going to win that seat
I think Republicans will have 54, 55 senators
I've got, Harris up in the popular vote by about a point and some tenths
Trump up in the electoral college by two ninety seven to two forty one... we'll know who the president is on Wednesday morning, and that president will be Donald Trump.
understood six weeks into there how and why Kamala Harris was gonna lose
And Carolina's gonna be tough. We have to really represent tomorrow, to win. I think we can. I think we will
We must win this, and we gotta hold the house. We have to hold the house. I'm glad we're gonna take the senate, but we have to hold the house.
The Democrats are about to lose control of the senate in all likelihood. But let's just say they hold on by, you know, a vote...
Well, I think we're gonna win Pennsylvania. I really do. But Pennsylvania is a heavy lift.
Now the race is much tighter. It's about a half a point. I still think it leans towards Harris... but that's a state where I think the Democrats can still hold it.
that's a number that, as you take a look at, it looks like Pennsylvania should go towards Trump, and that would suggest he would have some success on election night
It's probably leaning to Trump by about one to two points, but that's gonna be a lot to overcome considering the situation.
but I think Georgia is a pretty strong state for Trump... but it seems to be leaning towards Trump at this time.
So to me, anything in Wisconsin that's tied, the conventional wisdom is that Trump will take it because we're underrepresenting.
Because the Republicans are gonna win West Virginia, and that brings them to fifty fifty.
All of this makes me feel like Trump will win because why else would all of this happen... Have happened?
And Nevada, remarkably Spencer, seems so far to be leaning Republican.
So to me, anything in Wisconsin that's tied, the conventional wisdom is that Trump will will take it because we're underrepresenting.
it looks like Pennsylvania should go towards Trump, and that would suggest he would have some success on election night... that's why we see that, you know, Pennsylvania as a toss-up, slightly leaning towards Trump
Maybe it falls in between those two numbers, but it seems to be leaning towards Trump at this time.
It's probably leaning to Trump by about one to two points, but that's gonna be a lot to overcome considering the situation.