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Writes at Sports Illustrated
Across 5 graded calls in 5 articles, Dave Richard scores 60% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 32.2, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 6 calls · one square per call
3hits60% of graded
2misses40%
1waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
5 graded calls in 5 articles, newest first. Every take from Dave Richard, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
“Dave Richard: Bills”
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Dave Richard isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 62%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Dave Richard: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears
“Dave Richard: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Commanders
“CBS Sports Dave Richard: Seahawks”
Closing line (Sep 27): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 3 in 4 (77%).
Philadelphia Eagles to beat Titans
“Dave Richard: Eagles”
Closing line (Sep 20): Eagles by 7 · favorite pick, Eagles about 3 in 4 (73%).