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Writes at Sports Illustrated
Across 9 graded calls in 9 articles, Matt Bowen scores 22.22% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -22.78, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 25 calls · one square per call
2hits22% of graded
7misses78%
16waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
9 graded calls in 9 articles, newest first — page 1 of 2. Every take from Matt Bowen, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
Buffalo Bills to beat Vikings
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Matt Bowen isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
“Matt Bowen: Bills”
Closing line (Nov 9): Bills by 3 · favorite pick, Bills 62%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Cardinals
“Matt Bowen: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 8): Seahawks by 8.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks about 4 in 5 (79%).
Seattle Seahawks to beat Bears
“Matt Bowen: Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Chicago Bears
“Matt Bowen, ESPN : Seattle Seahawks”
Closing line (Nov 2): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.
New York Jets to beat Dolphins
“Matt Bowen: Jets”
Closing line (Oct 25): Jets by 3.5 · favorite pick, Jets about 2 in 3 (66%).
Indianapolis Colts to beat Titans
“Matt Bowen: Colts”
Closing line (Oct 18): Colts by 6.5 · favorite pick, Colts 72%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat Broncos
“Matt Bowen: Seahawks”
Closing line (Oct 15): Seahawks by 2.5 · favorite pick, Seahawks 58%.
Seattle Seahawks to beat 49ers
“Matt Bowen: Seahawks”
Closing line (Oct 11): Seahawks by 3 · favorite pick, Seahawks 60%.