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Leaderboard / Rising (The Hill)

Rising (The Hill)

Published without a byline — this record belongs to the publication rather than to a named writer.

Writes at Rising (The Hill)

Is Rising (The Hill) accurate? Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Rising (The Hill) scores 0% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -66.67, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

Accuracy

How often they were right.

-66.67

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 1 article.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 3

The co-host presented an electoral map predicting a Harris landslide, including Harris carrying Texas and Florida, arguing polls are badly wrong and Trump's coalition has shrunk since 2016 and 2020.3 graded calls · Nov 5, 2024
- “But you have her winning Texas and Florida? Yeah. Puerto Rican vote.”
  Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill
  How this was scored
  right:
  no
  race:
  2024-president-fl
  election year:
  2024
  skill:
  -100
  topic:
  elections
  held going in by:
  Republican
  result from:
  fec-2024-president
  who won:
  Donald Trump
  accuracy:
  0
  baseline:
  100

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

race name:

2024 U.S. presidential election in Florida

decided in the:

general

they said:

Kamala Harris

days before the vote when called:

difficulty:

the winner's party:

Republican

the naive guess:

the party holding the seat keeps it

Election Day:

2024-11-05

the result is:

certified

the party they named:

Democratic

Think this grade is wrong?

“I've been predicting a landslide for at least three weeks now.”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill

How this was scored

right:: no
race:: 2024-president
election year:: 2024
skill:: 0
topic:: elections
held going in by:: Democratic
in their words:: a landslide
result from:: fec-2024-president
who won:: Donald Trump
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 0
race name:: 2024 U.S. presidential election
decided in the:: electoral-college
they said:: Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:: 0
difficulty:: 1
the winner's party:: Republican
the naive guess:: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:: 2024-11-05
the result is:: certified
the party they named:: Democratic

Think this grade is wrong?

“But you have her winning Texas and Florida? Yeah. Puerto Rican vote.”

Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-100 skill

How this was scored

right:: no
race:: 2024-president-tx
election year:: 2024
skill:: -100
topic:: elections
held going in by:: Republican
result from:: fec-2024-president
who won:: Donald Trump
accuracy:: 0
baseline:: 100
race name:: 2024 U.S. presidential election in Texas
decided in the:: general
they said:: Kamala Harris
days before the vote when called:: 0
difficulty:: 1
the winner's party:: Republican
the naive guess:: the party holding the seat keeps it
Election Day:: 2024-11-05
the result is:: certified
the party they named:: Democratic

Think this grade is wrong?