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Leaderboard / Sarah McCammon

Sarah McCammon

Is Sarah McCammon accurate? Across 2 graded calls in 2 articles, Sarah McCammon scores 100% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of 102, which means their calls were better than a naive guess on the same claims. That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.

100%

Accuracy

How often they were right.

102

MissedTakes Score

Versus a naive guess. 0 means no better.

Graded calls

across 2 articles.

Fewer than 10 graded articles. Treat this as provisional.

Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below shows its own arithmetic.

Graded calls · 2

She assessed that Republicans are well positioned to win back control of the Senate in the coming election.Oct 23, 2024
- “And it's worth noting, you know, it it looks like Republicans have a very good chance of regaining control of the senate.”
  Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+102 skill
  How this was scored
  right:
  yes
  election year:
  2024
  skill:
  102
  topic:
  elections
  in their words:
  a very good chance of regaining control of the senate
  result from:
  senate: United States Senate, Party Division (https://www.senate.gov/history/partydiv.htm)
  chamber:
  2024-senate
  who controls it:
  Republican
  accuracy:
  100
  baseline:

We grade claims about outcomes, never claims about people. If something here is wrong — a misattributed quote, a claim we misread, a grade you disagree with — tell us and we will look at it.

they said:

Republican

days before the vote when called:

difficulty:

1.02

the naive guess:

the party in control going in keeps it

Election Day:

2024-11-05

who controlled it before:

Democratic

Think this grade is wrong?

She said the Senate, currently held by Democrats, looks very likely to flip to Republican control.Oct 22, 2024

“The senate, currently controlled by Democrats, seems very likely it'll flip over to Republican control.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+102 skill
How this was scored
right:
yes
election year:
2024
skill:
102
topic:
elections
in their words:
seems very likely it'll flip over to Republican control
result from:
senate: United States Senate, Party Division (https://www.senate.gov/history/partydiv.htm)
chamber:
2024-senate
who controls it:
Republican
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
they said:
Republican
days before the vote when called:
13
difficulty:
1.02
the naive guess:
the party in control going in keeps it
Election Day:
2024-11-05
who controlled it before:
Democratic
Think this grade is wrong?