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Writes at The Dan Patrick Show (podcast)
Across 3 graded calls in 1 article, Todd Fritz scores 21.43% accuracy and a MissedTakes Score of -16.09, which means their calls were worse than a naive guess on the same claims.
That is a provisional record, fewer than ten graded articles, so the numbers are not yet meaningful and they are not ranked on the leaderboard.
How accurate are NFL experts overall? →
Every number here is computed from the published methodology, and every call below opens to its own arithmetic.
All 5 calls · one square per call
1Close33%
2misses67%
2waitingnot graded yet
How much better than a naive guess on the same claims. This is the ranking.
No kind has five graded calls yet, so none is rated.
3 graded calls in 1 article, newest first. Every take from Todd Fritz, including the ones still waiting →
Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.
The same 87, by how often their calls landed, with no credit for difficulty.
Todd Fritz isn’t ranked yet: a record is ranked from 10 graded articles, so a lucky first handful can’t top the table.
Patrick Mahomes to win Super Bowl MVP
“twenty nine, twenty six Chiefs MVP Mames”
Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl
“Cry Eagles Cry twenty nine, twenty six Chiefs MVP Mames”
Kansas City Chiefs 29 — Eagles 26
“Cry Eagles Cry twenty nine, twenty six Chiefs MVP Mames”
Closing line (Feb 9): Chiefs by 1.5, total 48.5 · this 29–26 calls a bigger Chiefs win (by 3) and more points (55).