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Pete Prisco· Nov 5, 2026

Prisco picks the Jaguars to roll over the Ravens and sees the rested Saints winning a low-scoring game against the Browns.

“The Saints will do enough to win a low-scoring game.”

published in writing · CBS Sports · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 2 score predictions — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing call.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 83.3 out of 100, against 49 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The games in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing. Game calls show that game’s closing betting line under their grade: a dated fact from nflverse, for context and never part of a grade. MissedTakes takes no bets and earns nothing from any sportsbook.

  • New Orleans Saints 17 — Browns 14

    “Pete Prisco — Saints (-1.5) 17-14 over Browns.”

    Hit · 95Scored 95.24a naive guess scored 97.97-4.26 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    22-23
    skill:
    −4.26
    they picked:
    NO
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    95.24
    baseline:
    97.97
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.15
    predicted margin:
    3

    Closing line (Nov 8): Saints by 4.5, total 43.5 · this 17–14 calls a closer game (Saints by 3) and fewer points (31). Graded on the margin called, not on the spread.

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  • Jacksonville Jaguars 27 — Ravens 16

    “Prisco's pick: Jaguars 27-16 over Ravens”

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 0+111.43 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    33-10
    skill:
    111.43
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.56
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    10
    naive home margin:
    0.38
    predicted margin:
    11

    Closing line (Nov 5): Jaguars by 8.5, total 40.5 · this 27–16 calls a bigger Jaguars win (by 11) and more points (43).

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What others said about the same people

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